Opinion polling and seat projections for the 2024 European Parliament election
The European Parliament election is set to take place in June 2024. This article lists national polls for the European Union (EU) election as well as EU-wide seat projections and popular vote estimates.
Polling aggregations[edit]
Seat projections[edit]
Europe Elects, Der Föderalist and Politico Europe have been presenting seat projections throughout the legislative period. Other institutes started presenting data during the election campaign. All projections make their national-level data transparent, except Politico Europe, which only presents aggregate EU-level data.
Polling aggregator | Date updated | Number of seats | The Left | S&D | G/EFA | Renew | EPP | ECR | ID | NI | Others | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Politico Europe[1] | 10 May 2024 | 720 | 31 | 146 | 43 | 81 | 173 | 74 | 84 | 42 | 46 | |
election.de[2] | 9 May 2024 | 720 | 40 | 140 | 55 | 89 | 177 | 80 | 84 | 55 | – | |
corneliushirsch.com[3] | 9 May 2024 | 720 | 43 | 137 | 48 | 87 | 183 | 82 | 94 | 46 | – | |
Europe Elects[4] | 28 Apr 2024 | 720 | 44 | 140 | 48 | 86 | 183 | 86 | 84 | 48 | 1 | |
Der Föderalist[5] | Baseline[a] | 26 Apr 2024 | 720 | 35 | 132 | 51 | 86 | 173 | 81 | 83 | 35 | 44 |
Dynamic[b] | 720 | 39 | 134 | 53 | 89 | 181 | 86 | 99 | 39 | – | ||
EM Analytics[6] | 22 Apr 2024 | 720 | 39 | 139 | 51 | 77 | 181 | 86 | 86 | 61 | – | |
2019 election | After Brexit | 1 Feb 2020 | 705 | 40 | 148 | 67 | 97 | 187 | 62 | 76 | 28 | – |
Before Brexit | 26 May 2019 | 751 | 41 | 154 | 74 | 108 | 182 | 62 | 73 | 57 | – |
Popular vote projections[edit]
Europe Elects has been presenting popular vote projections throughout the legislative period. Other institutes started presenting data during the election campaign.
Polling aggregator | Date updated | The Left | S&D | G/EFA | Renew | EPP | ECR | ID | NI | Others | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Europe Elects[4] | 28 Apr 2024 | 6.3% | 18.3% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 22.9% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | ||
EM Analytics[7] | 22 Apr 2024 | 7.0% | 18.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 22.0% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | ||
2019 election | ||||||||||||
Before Brexit | 26 May 2019 | 6.5% | 18.5% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 21.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 3.1% |
Seats[edit]
361 seats are needed for an absolute majority in the European Parliament.
Organisation | Release date |
Area | Number of seats | The Left | S&D | G/EFA | Renew | EPP | ECR | ID | NI | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
election.de[8] | 9 May 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 40 | 140 | 55 | 89 | 177 | 80 | 84 | 55 | 37 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[9] | 28 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 44 | 140 | 48 | 86 | 183 | 86 | 84 | 48 | 1 | 43 |
Der Föderalist[10] | 26 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 35 | 132 | 51 | 86 | 173 | 81 | 83 | 35 | 44 | 41 |
720 | 39 | 134 | 53 | 89 | 181 | 86 | 99 | 39 | 47 | ||||
EM Analytics[11] | 22 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 39 | 139 | 51 | 86 | 181 | 86 | 77 | 61 | 42 | |
election.de[12] | 22 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 39 | 138 | 52 | 90 | 173 | 80 | 87 | 61 | 35 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[13] | 16 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 40 | 139 | 52 | 84 | 184 | 82 | 84 | 52 | 3 | 45 |
election.de[14] | 8 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 39 | 138 | 55 | 86 | 176 | 81 | 85 | 60 | 38 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[15] | 28 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 47 | 135 | 52 | 87 | 184 | 81 | 82 | 48 | 4 | 49 |
election.de[16] | 22 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 40 | 139 | 54 | 89 | 176 | 84 | 83 | 55 | 37 | |
Ipsos for Euronews[17] | 19 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 42 | 136 | 55 | 85 | 177 | 76 | 81 | 68 | 41 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[18] | 18 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 46 | 135 | 50 | 86 | 183 | 84 | 89 | 43 | 4 | 48 |
Politico Europe[19] | 9 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 33 | 141 | 48 | 90 | 180 | 87 | 89 | 52 | 39 | |
election.de[20] | 8 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 39 | 142 | 51 | 86 | 171 | 86 | 86 | 59 | 29 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[21] | 1 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 45 | 140 | 49 | 82 | 181 | 83 | 92 | 44 | 4 | 41 |
Der Föderalist[22] | 26 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 35 | 135 | 48 | 85 | 176 | 78 | 85 | 36 | 42 | 41 |
37 | 137 | 48 | 89 | 183 | 82 | 101 | 43 | 46 | |||||
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[23] | 19 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 44 | 140 | 48 | 85 | 180 | 83 | 92 | 43 | 6 | 40 |
election.de[24] | 7 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 42 | 138 | 49 | 78 | 176 | 88 | 94 | 55 | 38 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[25] | 1 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 42 | 140 | 51 | 82 | 180 | 80 | 91 | 49 | 5 | 40 |
ECFR[26] | 23 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 44 | 131 | 61 | 86 | 173 | 85 | 98 | 42 | 42 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[27] | 15 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 37 | 143 | 50 | 84 | 178 | 80 | 93 | 49 | 6 | 35 |
election.de[28] | 9 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 41 | 141 | 45 | 80 | 179 | 86 | 95 | 53 | 38 | |
Politico Europe[29] | 9 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 33 | 145 | 43 | 86 | 178 | 89 | 96 | 50 | 33 | |
Der Föderalist[30] | 8 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 33 | 141 | 45 | 86 | 169 | 75 | 89 | 43 | 39 | 28 |
35 | 143 | 47 | 91 | 177 | 85 | 108 | 34 | 34 | |||||
Europe Elects[31] | 30 Dec 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 36 | 142 | 49 | 84 | 179 | 81 | 93 | 50 | 6 | 37 |
Politico Europe[32] | 11 Dec 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 33 | 145 | 47 | 87 | 175 | 91 | 91 | 51 | 30 | |
Europe Elects[33] | 30 Nov 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 38 | 141 | 52 | 89 | 175 | 82 | 87 | 52 | 4 | 35 |
Politico Europe[34] | 9 Nov 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 38 | 143 | 49 | 91 | 179 | 90 | 85 | 45 | 36 | |
Der Föderalist[35] | 6 Nov 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 43 | 137 | 43 | 90 | 170 | 78 | 76 | 37 | 45 | 33 |
46 | 138 | 47 | 96 | 178 | 89 | 92 | 34 | 40 | |||||
Europe Elects[36] | 31 Oct 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 45 | 139 | 51 | 92 | 173 | 80 | 76 | 53 | 11 | 34 |
PES (S&D's party) suspends Slovakia's Smer–SD and Hlas–SD due to their coalition with the sovereignist SNS party.[37] | |||||||||||||
Politico Europe[38] | 9 Oct 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 40 | 151 | 49 | 89 | 172 | 93 | 82 | 44 | 21 | |
Europe Elects[39] | 30 Sep 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 43 | 145 | 52 | 90 | 165 | 86 | 74 | 56 | 10 | 21 |
The European Council approves the new apportionment in the European Parliament from 705 to 720 seats.[40] | |||||||||||||
Der Föderalist[41] | 11 Sep 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 43 | 147 | 46 | 91 | 162 | 77 | 74 | 36 | 43 | 15 |
45 | 147 | 50 | 96 | 171 | 90 | 89 | 32 | 24 | |||||
705 | 42 | 144 | 46 | 90 | 157 | 77 | 72 | 35 | 41 | 13 | |||
44 | 144 | 50 | 95 | 165 | 89 | 87 | 31 | 21 | |||||
Politico Europe[42] | 7 Sep 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 42 | 146 | 46 | 91 | 167 | 93 | 76 | 44 | 21 | |
Europe Elects[43] | 31 Aug 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 38 | 149 | 53 | 90 | 164 | 83 | 75 | 58 | 10 | 15 |
Politico Europe[44] | 9 Aug 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 45 | 145 | 48 | 89 | 165 | 89 | 77 | 47 | 20 | |
Europe Elects[45] | 31 Jul 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 45 | 143 | 49 | 90 | 157 | 82 | 82 | 55 | 12 | 14 |
Der Föderalist[46] | 17 Jul 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 41 | 136 | 48 | 94 | 160 | 79 | 70 | 36 | 41 | 24 |
43 | 137 | 52 | 99 | 167 | 89 | 87 | 31 | 30 | |||||
Der Föderalist[47] | 22 May 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 49 | 137 | 50 | 92 | 162 | 79 | 67 | 33 | 36 | 25 |
50 | 137 | 54 | 99 | 172 | 82 | 83 | 28 | 35 | |||||
Europe Elects[48] | 28 Apr 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 141 | 49 | 89 | 163 | 85 | 64 | 51 | 11 | 22 |
Der Föderalist[49] | 27 Mar 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 44 | 137 | 42 | 94 | 162 | 78 | 68 | 38 | 42 | 25 |
46 | 141 | 46 | 102 | 170 | 81 | 84 | 35 | 29 | |||||
Der Föderalist[50] | 1 Feb 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 135 | 42 | 96 | 168 | 78 | 65 | 37 | 34 | 33 |
52 | 138 | 47 | 103 | 172 | 82 | 80 | 31 | 34 | |||||
Der Föderalist[51] | 6 Dec 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 136 | 44 | 93 | 166 | 79 | 64 | 37 | 35 | 30 |
53 | 139 | 50 | 100 | 170 | 83 | 80 | 30 | 31 | |||||
Europe Elects[52] | 7 Dec 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 49 | 142 | 56 | 100 | 158 | 84 | 63 | 46 | 7 | 16 |
Europe Elects[53] | 1 Nov 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 135 | 53 | 106 | 162 | 81 | 66 | 41 | 6 | 27 |
Der Föderalist[54] | 12 Oct 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 127 | 42 | 100 | 169 | 79 | 63 | 35 | 38 | 42 |
54 | 130 | 48 | 108 | 174 | 84 | 80 | 27 | 44 | |||||
Der Föderalist[55] | 20 Aug 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 134 | 47 | 98 | 170 | 75 | 63 | 27 | 39 | 36 |
54 | 137 | 53 | 107 | 175 | 80 | 76 | 23 | 38 | |||||
Der Föderalist[56] | 22 Jun 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 133 | 44 | 101 | 165 | 77 | 64 | 31 | 36 | 32 |
56 | 136 | 54 | 106 | 168 | 81 | 79 | 25 | 32 | |||||
Der Föderalist[57] | 25 Apr 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 59 | 139 | 39 | 97 | 157 | 78 | 64 | 37 | 35 | 18 |
60 | 143 | 49 | 102 | 159 | 84 | 76 | 32 | 16 | |||||
Der Föderalist[58] | 1 Mar 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 53 | 139 | 36 | 98 | 158 | 78 | 62 | 45 | 36 | 19 |
55 | 142 | 44 | 105 | 160 | 109 | 62 | 28 | 18 | |||||
Europe Elects[59] | 8 Jan 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 49 | 152 | 55 | 99 | 158 | 78 | 62 | 35 | 17 | 6 |
Der Föderalist[60] | 4 Jan 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 142 | 39 | 99 | 165 | 73 | 62 | 34 | 40 | 23 |
53 | 146 | 43 | 105 | 166 | 102 | 62 | 28 | 20 | |||||
Europe Elects[61] | 7 Dec 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 155 | 55 | 103 | 146 | 81 | 75 | 36 | 4 | 9 |
Der Föderalist[62] | 8 Nov 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 144 | 42 | 96 | 155 | 75 | 72 | 36 | 35 | 11 |
52 | 148 | 48 | 107 | 156 | 23 | 120 | 51 | 8 | |||||
Europe Elects[63] | 4 Nov 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 155 | 51 | 102 | 151 | 81 | 75 | 35 | 5 | 4 |
Europe Elects[64] | 8 Oct 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 154 | 47 | 94 | 156 | 78 | 75 | 36 | 15 | 2 |
Der Föderalist[65] | 13 Sep 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 141 | 42 | 98 | 160 | 70 | 75 | 33 | 32 | 19 |
56 | 145 | 48 | 107 | 160 | 22 | 116 | 51 | 15 | |||||
Der Föderalist[66] | 21 Jul 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 133 | 45 | 97 | 167 | 71 | 74 | 31 | 35 | 34 |
54 | 138 | 49 | 108 | 168 | 23 | 117 | 48 | 30 | |||||
Europe Elects[67] | 9 Jul 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 144 | 55 | 94 | 156 | 75 | 77 | 34 | 18 | 12 |
Europe Elects[68] | 5 Jun 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 146 | 58 | 92 | 155 | 76 | 74 | 35 | 18 | 9 |
Der Föderalist[69] | 24 May 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 125 | 50 | 95 | 167 | 74 | 73 | 33 | 38 | 42 |
52 | 130 | 54 | 109 | 167 | 87 | 74 | 32 | 37 | |||||
Europe Elects[70] | 2 May 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 144 | 56 | 93 | 158 | 75 | 74 | 34 | 19 | 14 |
Europe Elects[71] | 2 Apr 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 151 | 52 | 93 | 159 | 74 | 74 | 32 | 19 | 8 |
Der Föderalist[72] | 29 Mar 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 136 | 46 | 96 | 164 | 71 | 73 | 34 | 33 | 28 |
54 | 141 | 49 | 109 | 164 | 85 | 73 | 30 | 23 | |||||
Hungary's Fidesz party leaves the EPP Group.[73] | |||||||||||||
Der Föderalist[74] | 2 Feb 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 135 | 45 | 94 | 184 | 70 | 71 | 21 | 33 | 49 |
53 | 141 | 48 | 107 | 184 | 73 | 71 | 28 | 49 | |||||
Europe Elects[75] | 5 Jan 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 138 | 47 | 97 | 190 | 73 | 72 | 22 | 11 | 52 |
Der Föderalist[76] | 9 Dec 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 136 | 47 | 93 | 188 | 67 | 73 | 20 | 29 | 52 |
53 | 140 | 40 | 103 | 188 | 73 | 73 | 25 | 48 | |||||
Europe Elects[77] | 2 Dec 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 136 | 48 | 95 | 195 | 68 | 73 | 23 | 12 | 59 |
Europe Elects[78] | 31 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 136 | 48 | 93 | 197 | 70 | 74 | 24 | 9 | 61 |
Der Föderalist[79] | 12 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 127 | 49 | 96 | 193 | 67 | 71 | 21 | 30 | 66 |
52 | 136 | 52 | 102 | 193 | 71 | 71 | 28 | – | 57 | ||||
Europe Elects[80] | 4 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 136 | 49 | 95 | 195 | 71 | 77 | 23 | 4 | 59 |
Europe Elects[81] | 31 Aug 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 134 | 49 | 96 | 196 | 71 | 75 | 24 | 5 | 62 |
Europe Elects[82] | 14 Aug 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 134 | 49 | 97 | 198 | 70 | 75 | 23 | 5 | 64 |
Europe Elects[83] | 24 Jul 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 133 | 48 | 97 | 198 | 71 | 77 | 24 | 3 | 65 |
Europe Elects[84] | 28 May 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 135 | 47 | 98 | 197 | 70 | 77 | 23 | 3 | 62 |
Europe Elects[85] | 30 Apr 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 140 | 46 | 94 | 193 | 72 | 78 | 23 | 4 | 53 |
Europe Elects[86] | 31 Mar 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 57 | 135 | 51 | 92 | 188 | 72 | 83 | 21 | 6 | 53 |
Europe Elects[87] | 29 Feb 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 56 | 133 | 55 | 99 | 184 | 68 | 85 | 21 | 6 | 51 |
Europe Elects[88] | 31 Jan 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 130 | 53 | 101 | 182 | 70 | 85 | 23 | 6 | 52 |
The United Kingdom leaves the European Union.[89] | |||||||||||||
Europe Elects[90] | 31 Dec 2019 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 131 | 52 | 102 | 182 | 70 | 86 | 25 | 3 | 51 |
Europe Elects[91] | 31 Dec 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 53 | 153 | 52 | 103 | 177 | 103 | 82 | 25 | 3 | 24 |
Europe Elects[92] | 30 Nov 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 49 | 157 | 61 | 107 | 176 | 95 | 80 | 25 | 1 | 19 |
Europe Elects[92] | 31 Aug 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 46 | 151 | 62 | 115 | 175 | 92 | 78 | 30 | 2 | 24 |
Europe Elects[92] | 30 Sep 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 48 | 151 | 63 | 118 | 170 | 87 | 79 | 32 | 3 | 19 |
Europe Elects[92] | 31 Aug 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 47 | 154 | 64 | 116 | 166 | 89 | 80 | 32 | 3 | 12 |
Europe Elects[92] | 31 Jul 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 48 | 153 | 65 | 117 | 168 | 85 | 79 | 33 | 3 | 15 |
Europe Elects[92] | 30 Jun 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 46 | 145 | 74 | 119 | 167 | 64 | 80 | 54 | 2 | 22 |
Redistribution of seats after Brexit | 1 Feb 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 40 | 148 | 68 | 97 | 187 | 62 | 76 | 27 | – | 39 |
2019 European Parliament election | 26 May 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 41 | 154 | 74 | 108 | 182 | 62 | 73 | 57 | – | 28 |
Popular vote[edit]
The following table shows the projected popular vote share for the groups in the EU Parliament aggregated on the European level. EU27 excludes the United Kingdom in this context. EU28 includes the United Kingdom.
Organisation | Release date |
Area | The Left | S&D | G/EFA | Renew | EPP | ECR | ID | NI | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Europe Elects for Euractiv[93] | 28 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 6.3% | 18.3% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 22.9% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% |
EM Analytics[94] | 22 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 7.0% | 18.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 22.0% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv[95] | 16 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 5.9% | 18.0% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 24.3% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv[96] | 28 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 7.7% | 18.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 23.0% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv[97] | 18 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 4.8% | 18.5% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 22.2% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv[98] | 1 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 5.5% | 18.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 22.6% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv[99] | 19 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 6.7% | 18.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 22.9% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv[100] | 1 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 6.8% | 18.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 22.6% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv[101] | 15 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 5.9% | 18.3% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 23.5% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% |
Europe Elects[102] | 30 Dec 2023 | EU27 | 5.5% | 17.9% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 22.8% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
Europe Elects[103] | 30 Nov 2023 | EU27 | 5.7% | 18.4% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 22.4% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
Europe Elects[104] | 31 Oct 2023 | EU27 | 5.9% | 18.5% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 22.4% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
Europe Elects[105] | 30 Sep 2023 | EU27 | 6.9% | 19.1% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 21.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
Europe Elects | 31 Aug 2023 | EU27 | 6.1% | 19.5% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 21.6% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
Europe Elects[106] | 31 Jul 2023 | EU27 | 7.2% | 19.5% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 20.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 1.1% |
Europe Elects[107] | 28 Jun 2023 | EU27 | 6.9% | 18.7% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 21.4% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 2.7% |
Europe Elects[108] | 31 May 2023 | EU27 | 7.5% | 18.8% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 20.7% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 1.9% |
Europe Elects[109] | 30 Apr 2023 | EU27 | 7.8% | 18.2% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 21.4% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
Europe Elects[110] | 31 Mar 2023 | EU27 | 7.3% | 19.0% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 21.6% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
Europe Elects[111] | 28 Feb 2023 | EU27 | 7.1% | 18.7% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 21.7% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
Europe Elects[112] | 31 Jan 2023 | EU27 | 7.4% | 18.5% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 21.5% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
Europe Elects[113] | 31 Dec 2022 | EU27 | 7.1% | 18.7% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 21.1% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 2.4% |
Europe Elects[52] | 7 Dec 2022 | EU27 | 7.2% | 18.8% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 21.2% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
Europe Elects[53] | 1 Nov 2022 | EU27 | 8.0% | 18.3% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 21.6% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.3% |
Europe Elects[59] | 8 Jan 2022 | EU27 | 6.7% | 20.6% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 20.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 0.1% |
Europe Elects[61] | 7 Dec 2021 | EU27 | 7.0% | 20.4% | 7.4% | 13.6% | 17.9% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 1.2% |
Europe Elects[63] | 4 Nov 2021 | EU27 | 6.9% | 20.7% | 7.2% | 13.0% | 19.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 1.2% |
Europe Elects[64] | 8 Oct 2021 | EU27 | 7.3% | 20.3% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 20.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | Tie |
Europe Elects[67] | 9 Jul 2021 | EU27 | 7.2% | 17.9% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 21.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 3.3% |
Europe Elects[68] | 5 Jun 2021 | EU27 | 7.8% | 18.0% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 20.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
Europe Elects[85] | 2 May 2021 | EU27 | 7.9% | 18.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 20.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 2.0% |
Europe Elects[86] | 2 Apr 2021 | EU27 | 8.0% | 18.7% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 21.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
Hungary's Fidesz party leaves the EPP Group.[73] | ||||||||||||
Europe Elects[75] | 2 Mar 2021 | EU27 | 7.9% | 18.9% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 23.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
Europe Elects[75] | 2 Feb 2021 | EU27 | 8.2% | 18.6% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 24.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% |
Europe Elects[75] | 31 Dec 2020 | EU27 | 8.4% | 18.9% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 24.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% |
Europe Elects[77] | 2 Dec 2020 | EU27 | 8.2% | 18.5% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 24.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% |
Europe Elects[78] | 31 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 7.6% | 18.4% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 25.0% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% |
Europe Elects[80] | 4 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 7.9% | 17.9% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 24.4% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% |
Europe Elects[81] | 31 Aug 2020 | EU27 | 8.1% | 18.3% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 25.0% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% |
Europe Elects[82] | 14 Aug 2020 | EU27 | 8.0% | 18.0% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 25.3% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% |
Europe Elects[83] | 24 Jul 2020 | EU27 | 8.3% | 17.9% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 25.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.8% |
Europe Elects[84] | 28 May 2020 | EU27 | 8.2% | 18.0% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 25.2% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% |
Europe Elects[85] | 30 Apr 2020 | EU27 | 8.2% | 18.5% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 25.3% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% |
Europe Elects[86] | 31 Mar 2020 | EU27 | 8.5% | 18.2% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 24.1% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% |
Europe Elects[87] | 29 Feb 2020 | EU27 | 9.1% | 18.0% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 22.7% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% |
Europe Elects[88] | 31 Jan 2020 | EU27 | 8.0% | 18.6% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 20.5% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
The United Kingdom leaves the European Union.[89] | ||||||||||||
Europe Elects[92] | 31 Dec 2019 | EU28 | 8.1% | 18.8% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 20.9% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
Europe Elects[92] | 30 Nov 2019 | EU28 | 8.0% | 18.4% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 20.3% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
Europe Elects[92] | 31 Oct 2019 | EU28 | 6.5% | 17.8% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 20.3% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 2.5% |
Europe Elects[92] | 30 Sep 2019 | EU28 | 6.6% | 19.5% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 19.6% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 0.1% |
Europe Elects[92] | 31 Aug 2019 | EU28 | 6.9% | 19.0% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 20.0% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 1.0% |
Europe Elects[92] | 31 Jul 2019 | EU28 | 6.6% | 19.0% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 19.3% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 0.3% |
Europe Elects[92] | 30 Jun 2019 | EU28 | 6.9% | 18.9% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 19.1% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 0.2% |
2019 European Parliament election[114] | 26 May 2019 | EU27 | 7.0% | 18.9% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 22.6% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% |
2019 European Parliament election[92] | EU28 | 6.5% | 18.5% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 21.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
National opinion polling[edit]
Austria[edit]
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | ÖVP EPP |
SPÖ S&D |
FPÖ ID |
Grüne G/EFA |
NEOS Renew |
KPÖ Left |
Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OGM | 7–8 May 2024 | 1,007 | 22 5 |
22 5 |
26 5 |
13 2 |
14 3 |
2 0 |
1 0 |
4 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 6–8 May 2024 | 2,000 | 21 4 |
21 4 |
26 6 |
14 3 |
15 3 |
2 0 |
DNA: 1 0 |
5 |
Market | 22–25 Apr 2024 | 842 | 20 4 |
24 5 |
27 6 |
12 2 |
13 3 |
3 0 |
1 0 |
3 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 22–24 Apr 2024 | 2,000 | 21 4 |
23 5 |
27 6 |
12 2 |
13 3 |
3 0 |
1 0 |
4 |
Ipsos | 23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 21.0 4 |
22.0 5 |
28.2 6 |
13.0 3 |
11.8 2 |
2.1 0 |
1.9 0 |
6.2 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 26–28 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | 20 4 |
22 5 |
26 5 |
14 3 |
16 3 |
2 0 |
— | 4 |
Market | 5–7 Feb 2024 | 800 | 24 5 |
23 5 |
27 6 |
11 2 |
12 2 |
2 0 |
1 0 |
3 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 29–31 Jan 2024 | 1,000 | 24 5 |
20 4 |
27 6 |
13 2 |
14 3 |
2 0 |
— | 3 |
OGM | 22–31 Jan 2024 | 2,076 | 22 5 |
21 4 |
26 6 |
14 3 |
12 2 |
2 0 |
3 0 |
4 |
IFDD | 25–28 Jan 2024 | 1,000 | 21 4 |
24 5 |
27 6 |
14 3 |
9 2 |
3 0 |
2 0 |
3 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 11–13 Dec 2023 | 1,000 | 22 5 |
22 5 |
30 6 |
13 2 |
9 2 |
2 0 |
2 0 |
8 |
Peter Hajek | 22–29 Nov 2023 | 1,600 | 23 5 |
24 5 |
30 7 |
12 2 |
7 1 |
3 0 |
1 0 |
6 |
IFDD | 1–4 Oct 2023 | 837 | 25 5/6 |
25 5/6 |
25 5/6 |
14 3 |
8 1 |
— | 3 0 |
Tie |
2019 legislative election | 29 Sep 2019 | – | 37.5 8 |
21.2 5 |
16.2 3 |
13.9 3 |
8.1 1 |
0.7 0 |
2.5 0 |
16.3 |
2019 European election | 26 May 2019 | – | 34.6 7 |
23.9 5 |
17.2 3 |
14.1 3 |
8.4 1 |
0.8 0 |
1.0 0 |
9.7 |
Projected turnout:
According to the OGM poll for the "Kurier" newspaper (May 7-8, 2024), a total of 66% of those surveyed said they are "certain" to vote. This would represent an increase of more than 6% compared to the 2019 election, which had 59.8% turnout. It would also be the highest turnout since the first EU parliament election in Austria in 1996, when turnout was 67.7%.
Belgium[edit]
Dutch-speaking[edit]
Date(s) conducted | Polling firm | Publisher | Sample size | N‑VA ECR |
VB ID |
Open Vld Renew |
cd&v EPP |
Groen G/EFA |
Vooruit S&D |
PVDA Left |
Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | Ipsos | Euronews[115] | 1,500 | 18.7% 3 |
23.5% 3 |
12.7% 2 |
11.5% 1 |
9.7% 1 |
13.8% 2 |
9.3% 1 |
0.8% 0 |
4.8% |
26 May 2019 | European election | 22.4% 3 |
19.1% 3 |
15.9% 2 |
14.5% 2 |
12.4% 1 |
10.2% 1 |
4.9% 0 |
0.5% 0 |
3.3% |
French-speaking[edit]
Date(s) conducted | Polling firm | Publisher | Sample size | PS S&D |
Ecolo G/EFA |
MR Renew |
PTB Left |
LE EPP |
DéFI NI |
Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | Ipsos | Euronews[115] | 1,500 | 26.7% 2 |
12.8% 1 |
22.8% 2 |
19.2% 2 |
11.0% 1 |
2.8% 0 |
4.7% 0 |
3.9% |
26 May 2019 | European election | 26.7% 2 |
19.9% 2 |
19.3% 2 |
14.6% 1 |
8.9% 1 |
5.9% 0 |
4.7% 0 |
6.8% |
Bulgaria[edit]
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample | GERB—SDS EPP |
BSPzB S&D |
DPS Renew |
VMRO ECR |
PP–DB Renew-EPP[c] |
Revival ID |
ITN ECR[d] |
Others | NOTA | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MarketLinks | 29 Apr–9 May 2024 | — | 29.4 6 |
9.3 2 |
13.1 3 |
— | 20.6 4 |
12.3 2 |
2.7 0 |
8.1[e] | 4.2 | 8.8 |
Alpha Research | 28 Apr–5 May 2024 | 1000 | 25.1 5 |
8.0 2 |
14.4 3 |
— | 18.5 4 |
14.8 3 |
4.8 0 |
14.4[f] | — | 6.6 |
Gallup | 22 Apr–2 May 2024 | 808 | 26.4 5 |
8.2 2 |
14.9 3 |
1.3 0 |
17.5 4 |
14.7 3 |
4.5 0 |
12.5[g] | — | 8.9 |
TREND | 12 Apr–19 Apr 2024 | 1002 | 27.2 5 |
9.4 2 |
15.4 3 |
— | 17.2 4 |
15.3 3 |
5.1 0 |
10.1[h] | — | 10.1 |
Gallup | 28 Mar-5 Apr 2024 | 805 | 28.7 5 |
10.1 2 |
15.3 3 |
— | 18.2 4 |
15.1 3 |
5.5 0 |
9.8 | — | 6.2 |
IPSOS | N/A | N/A | 27.1 5 |
8.8 2 |
13.0 2 |
— | 20.9 4 |
15.1 3 |
6.1 1 |
8.9[i] | — | 6.2 |
Alpha Research | 1-7 Mar 2024 | 1000 | 27.0 5 |
10.6 2 |
10.0 2 |
— | 23.8 5 |
15.8 3 |
5.9 0 |
6.9 | — | 3.2 |
Market Links | 24 Feb-3 Mar 2024 | 1058 | 26.4 5 |
9.7 2 |
14.0 3 |
— | 22.7 4 |
13.5 3 |
3.8 0 |
6.1 | 3.9 | 3.7 |
2019 election | 26 May 2019 | — | 30.4 6 |
23.5 5 |
16.1 3 |
7.1 2 |
5.9[j] 1 |
1.0 0 |
— | 2.6 | 4.1 | 6.9 |
Croatia[edit]
Polling firm | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
HDZ EPP |
SDP S&D |
Most ECR |
PiP NI |
IDS RE |
DP ID |
M! G/EFA |
Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Promocija plus | 04 May 2024 | 1000 | 30.6 5 |
24.2 4 |
5.4 1 |
2.5 0 |
2.3 0 |
6.7 1 |
7.5 1 |
- | 6.4 |
2024 parliamentary election | 17 Apr 2024 | – | 34.4 | 25.4 | 8.0 | [k] | 2.3 | 9.6 | 9.1 | 11.2 | 9.0 |
2019 European election | 26 May 2019 | – | 27.1 | 22.1 | 17.6 | 13.6 | 11.9 | – | 1.8 | 5.8 | 5.0 |
Cyprus[edit]
Date | Polling firm | DISY EPP |
AKEL Left |
ELAM ECR |
DIKO S&D |
EDEK S&D |
DIPA Renew |
KOSP G/EFA |
APC Left |
EP NI |
VOLT G/EFA |
Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-22 Apr 2024 | CMRC | 29.0 | 27.5 | 15.2 | 12.3 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 3.6 | 2.9 | - | 3.6 | 0.7 | 1.5 |
08-19 Apr 2024 | CYMAR Market Research Ltd | 28.1 | 25.0 | 15.6 | 12.5 | 6.3 | 1.6 | 1.6 | - | - | 3.1 | 6.3 | 3.1 |
14–23 Mar 2024 | SIGMA | 28.1 | 28.1 | 15.1 | 13.7 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 2.7 | - | - | 2.7 | 2.7 | 0 |
20–26 Feb 2024 | Pulse Market Research | 31.3 | 25.8 | 14.7 | 12.9 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 3.7 | - | - | - | 5.5 | 5.5 |
12–16 Feb 2024 | SIGMA | 29.0 | 27.5 | 14.5 | 11.6 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 1.4 | - | 1.4 | 2.9 | 1.5 |
11 Feb 2024 | Symmetron | 30.7 | 29 | 13.7 | 10.9 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.4 | - | - | 3 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
29 Jan – 02 Feb 2024 | Interview | 31.7 | 31.8 | 15 | 9.0 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 6.8 | - | - | - | 1.1 | 0.1 |
22–26 Jan 2024 | L.S.Prime | 26.4 | 26.4 | 13.8 | 11.1 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 2.8 | - | - | - | 11.1 | 0 |
03–11 Jan 2024 | IMR | 25.7 | 27.8 | 17.4 | 9.7 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 4.9 | - | - | 1.8 | 3.5 | 2.1 |
30 May | Election 2021 | 27.8% | 22.3% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 3.3% | - | 10.3% | 5.5 |
26 May | Election 2019 | 29.0% | 27.5% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 3.8% | - | 0.8% | - | - | 3.0% | 1.5 |
Czech Republic[edit]
Polling firm | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
SPOLU ECR–EPP |
ANO Renew |
Piráti G/EFA |
STAN EPP |
SPD– Trikolóra ID |
Stačilo! Left |
SOCDEM S&D |
Svobodní NI |
Přísaha NI |
Zelení EGP |
PRO NI |
Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
STEM/Mark | 28 Mar–8 April 2024 | 1,009 | 20.0 | 27.5 | 10.1 | 10.4 | 10.4 | 6.7 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 6.0 | 0.9 | — | 1.9 | 7.5 |
Data Collect | 25 Mar 2024 | 20.9 | 27.3 | 10.8 | 9.3 | 10.9 | 7.1 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 6.4 | |
IPSOS | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,517 | 21.6 | 26.3 | 11.3 | 13.4 | 7.9 | 6.1 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 4.9 | — | — | — | 4.7 |
IPSOS | Dec 2023 | TBA | 25.2 | 26.3 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 7.7 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 12.8 | 1.1 |
STEM/MARK | 23–28 Nov 2023 | 1,010 | 15.0 | 33.8 | 11.4 | 7.3 | 14.7 | 5.4 | 3.6 | 2.9 | — | — | — | 6.0 | 18.8 |
2021 parliamentary election | 8–9 Oct 2021 | – | 27.8 | 27.1 | 15.6 | 9.6 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 2.8[l] | 4.7 | 1.0 | — | 0.9 | 0.7 | |
2019 European election | 24–25 May 2019 | – | 21.8[m] | 21.2 | 14.0 | 11.7[n] | 9.1 | 6.9 | 4.0 | 0.7 | — | — | — | 10.6 | 0.6 |
Denmark[edit]
Polling execution | Parties | Alliances | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polling
firm |
Fieldwork
date |
Sample
size |
V Renew |
A S&D |
F G/EFA |
O ID |
B Renew |
C EPP |
Ø Left |
Å G/EFA |
I EPP |
M Renew |
Æ ECR |
Others | AFÅ | BMV | CI |
Epinion | 23–29 Apr 2024 | 1,938 | 11.2 2 |
20.1 4 |
14.6 2 |
6.5 1 |
7.0 1 |
6.8 1 |
6.9 1 |
2.3 0 |
12.0 2 |
4.5 0 |
8.1 1 |
— | 37.0 6 |
22.7 3 |
18.8 3 |
Epinion | 6–13 Mar 2024 | 1,074 | 12 2 |
24 4 |
14 2 |
7 1 |
5 1 |
5 1 |
7 1 |
3 0 |
9 1 |
7 1 |
7 1 |
— | 41 6 |
24 4 |
14 2 |
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 10.5 2 |
21.0 4 |
12.0 2 |
5.0 0 |
6.0 1 |
6.0 1 |
8.0 1 |
2.0 0 |
13.0 2 |
7.0 1 |
8.5 1 |
— | 35.0 6 |
23.5 4 |
19.0 3 |
Epinion | 24–31 Jan 2024 | 1,051 | 11 2 |
22 4 |
12 2 |
7 1 |
6 1 |
6 1 |
7 1 |
1 0 |
10 1 |
7 1 |
9 1 |
— | 35 6 |
24 4 |
16 2 |
2022 general election | 13.3 (3) |
27.5 (6) |
8.3 (1) |
2.6 (0) |
3.8 (0) |
5.5 (1) |
5.1 (0) |
3.3 (0) |
7.9 (1) |
9.3 (2) |
8.1 (1) |
5.2 (0) |
39.1 (7) |
26.4 (4) |
13.4 (2) | ||
2021 municipal elections | 21.2 (4) |
28.4 (5) |
7.6 (1) |
4.1 (0) |
5.6 (1) |
15.2 (3) |
7.3 (1) |
0.7 (0) |
1.4 (0) |
— | 8.5 (0) |
36.7 (6) |
26.8 (5) |
16.6 (3) | |||
2019 general election | 23.4 (5) |
25.9 (6) |
7.7 (1) |
8.7 (1) |
8.6 (0) |
6.6 (1) |
6.9 (1) |
3.0 (0) |
2.3 (0) |
— | 6.9 (0) |
36.6 (7) |
32.0 (5) |
9.0 (1) | |||
2019 EP election | 23.5 (4) |
21.5 3 |
13.2 2 |
10.8 1 |
10.1 2 |
6.2 1 |
5.5 1 |
3.4 0 |
2.2 0 |
— | 3.7 0 |
— |
Estonia[edit]
Polling execution | Parties | Lead | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polling
firm |
Fieldwork
date |
Sample
size |
Reform Renew | SDE |
Centre |
EKRE ID |
Isamaa EPP |
EER G/EFA | Others | Party | EP group | |||||
Norstat | 8-17 Apr 2024 | 1,484 | 19.3 2 |
21.4 2 |
9.4 1 |
17.9 1 |
17.1 1 |
3.9 0 |
0.9 0 |
4.5 0 |
3.0 0 |
2.7 0 |
2.1 | 7.3 | ||
Kantar Emor | 8-17 Apr 2024 | 1,484 | 18.8 2 |
20 2 |
13.8 1 |
13.8 1 |
16.8 1 |
4.7 0 |
1.5 0 |
6 0 |
— | 4.5 0 |
1.2 | 12.6 | ||
Norstat | 11-15 Apr 2024 | 3,500 | 20.1 2 |
22.0 2 |
11.0 1 |
17.2 1 |
17.6 1 |
5.0 0 |
1.2 0 |
4.7 0 |
— | 1.2 0 |
1.9 | 9.1 | ||
Kantar Emor | 14-20 Mar 2024 | 1,135 | 18.9 2 |
21.4 2 |
13.9 1 |
15.4 1 |
16.7 1 |
5.6 0 |
—[o] | 5.9 0 |
— | 2.1 0 |
2.5 | 11.4 | ||
2023 parliamentary election | 31.2 3 |
9.3 1 |
15.3 1 |
16.1 1 |
8.2 0 |
13.3 1 |
1.0 0 |
2.3 0 |
— | 3.3 0 |
15.1 | 30.4 | ||||
2019 EP election | 26.2 2 |
23.3 2 |
14.4 1 |
12.7 1 |
10.3 1 |
3.2 0 |
1.8 0 |
— | — | 8.0 0 |
2.9 | 17.3 |
Finland[edit]
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
KOK EPP |
VIHR G/EFA |
SDP S&D |
PS ECR |
KESK Renew |
VAS Left |
SFP Renew |
KD EPP |
LIIK NI |
Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Taloustutkimus[119] | 23–29 Apr 2024 | 2,118 | 21.7 4 |
10.5 2 |
19.7 3 |
14.1 2 |
13.6 2 |
10.5 2 |
4.0 0 |
2.9 0 |
1.0 0 |
2.1 0 |
2.0 |
Verian[120] | 18–25 Mar 2024 | 1,372 | 22 4 |
11 2 |
17 3 |
14 2 |
12 2 |
9 1 |
5 0 |
6 1 |
4 0 |
5 | |
Ipsos[121] | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 22.5 4 |
9.0 1 |
20.0 4 |
19.0 3 |
10.5 2 |
8.5 1 |
3.5 0 |
3.5 0 |
3.5 0 |
2.5 | |
2023 parliamentary election | 20.8 4 |
7.0 1 |
19.9 3 |
20.1 4 |
11.3 2 |
7.1 1 |
4.3 0 |
4.2 0 |
2.4 0 |
2.9 0 |
0.7 | ||
2019 EP election | 20.8 3 |
16.0 3 |
14.6 2 |
13.8 2 |
13.5 2 |
6.9 1 |
6.3 1 |
4.9 0 |
3.1 0 |
4.8 |
France[edit]
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
LO NI |
NPA Left |
PCF Left |
LFI Left |
ND S&D |
PS–PP S&D |
EELV G/EFA |
GE NI |
PRG G/EFA[p] |
PS diss. |
EAC G/EFA |
ÉPT Renew |
PP G/EFA |
PA Left |
Ens. Renew |
AR | NE EPP |
LR EPP |
DLF ECR |
UPR NI |
LP–VIA ECR |
RN ID |
REC ECR |
Others | Lead | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FNC NI |
R! NI | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ifop | 6–10 May 2024 | 1,325 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 13 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 1.5 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 15 | |
Cluster17 | 6–9 May 2024 | 1,208 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | 1 | 0.5 | – | 2 | 15.5 | 1.5 | – | 6.5 | – | 1.5 | 1.5 | 29.5 | 6 | 3 | 14 | |
Ifop | 5–9 May 2024 | 1,325 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 13 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 1.5 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 31.5 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
Ifop | 3–7 May 2024 | 1,325 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 13 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 16.5 | 1.5 | – | 8 | – | 1 | 1 | 31.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 15 | |
OpinionWay | 6 May 2024 | 1,026 | 1 | <1 | 3 | 7 | <1 | 14 | 7 | – | <1 | – | 1 | – | – | <1 | 16 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 15 | |
Ifop | 2–6 May 2024 | 1,325 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | 0.5 | 13 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 16 | 1 | – | 8 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 32 | 6 | 0.5 | 16 | |
Elabe | 30 Apr – 3 May 2024 | 1,375 | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 12 | 8 | – | <0.5 | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 16.5 | 1 | <0.5 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 32 | 5 | 2.5 | 15.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 30 Apr – 3 May 2024 | 2,043 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 14 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 1 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 15 | 2 | <0.5 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 16 | |
Ifop | 30 Apr – 3 May 2024 | 1,345 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 13.5 | 6.5 | – | <0.5 | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | 16.5 | 1 | <0.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 31.5 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 15 | |
OpinionWay | 29–30 Apr 2024 | 1,075 | <1 | – | 2 | 6 | <1 | 14 | 7 | – | <1 | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 2 | <1 | 7 | – | 1 | 2 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 14 | |
Ifop | 29 Apr – 2 May 2024 | 1,375 | <0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 13.5 | 7 | – | <0.5 | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 16.5 | 1.5 | <0.5 | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
Cluster17 | 29 Apr – 1 May 2024 | 1,337 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | 0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 2 | 15.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 6 | – | 1 | 2 | 29.5 | 5.5 | 2 | 14 | |
OpinionWay | 29–30 Apr 2024 | 1,009 | 1 | – | 4 | 7 | <1 | 14 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | 1 | – | – | 0.5 | 17 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 12 | |
Ifop | 26–30 Apr 2024 | 1,360 | <0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 7 | 0.5 | 14 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 16 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 31.5 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 24–26 Apr 2024 | 2,319 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 9 | <0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 16 | 2 | <0.5 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 6 | 2 | 15 | |
Ifop | 25–29 Apr 2024 | 1,345 | <0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7 | <0.5 | 14.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 16 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 8 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
Odoxa | 25–26 Apr 2024 | 1,005 | 1.5 | 1 | 2.5 | 7 | <0.5 | 12 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 15.5 | 1.5 | <0.5 | 8 | – | 1 | 1.5 | 32 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 16.5 | |
BVA | 25–26 Apr 2024 | 1,434 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 6.5 | – | 13 | 8 | – | <0.5 | – | 1.5 | – | – | 3 | 17 | 1 | <0.5 | 6 | 1[q] | 1 | 1 | 31 | 5.5 | 1 | 14 | |
Ifop | 23–26 Apr 2024 | 1,345 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 14 | 8 | – | 0.5 | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 16.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 15 | |
OpinionWay | 24–25 Apr 2024 | 1,011 | 1 | – | 3 | 6 | <1 | 14 | 6 | – | <1 | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 18 | 1 | <1 | 7 | – | 1 | 2 | 29 | 8 | 3 | 11 | |
Cluster17 | 23–25 Apr 2024 | 1,164 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 12.5 | 6.5 | – | 1 | – | 0.5 | 1 | – | 2 | 16 | 2 | 0.5 | 6 | – | 1 | 1.5 | 29.5 | 6 | 2 | 13.5 | |
Ifop | 22–25 Apr 2024 | 1,350 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 13 | 8 | – | <0.5 | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 17.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | 0.5 | <0.5 | 31 | 5.5 | 1 | 13.5 | |
OpinionWay | 23–24 Apr 2024 | 1,007 | 1 | – | 3 | 8 | <1 | 13 | 7 | – | <1 | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | 18 | 2 | <1 | 6 | – | 1 | 1 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 12 | |
Ifop | 20–24 Apr 2024 | 1,335 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7 | 0.5 | 12.5 | 7.5 | – | <0.5 | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 17.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 8.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 31 | 5.5 | 1 | 13.5 | |
Ipsos | 19–24 Apr 2024 | 10,651 | 0.5 | 1 | 2.5 | 7 | 0.5 | 14 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 1 | <0.5 | 6.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 15 | |
Ifop | 19–23 Apr 2024 | 1,335 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7 | 0.5 | 12 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 2 | – | – | 1.5 | 17 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31.5 | 5.5 | 1 | 14.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 19–22 Apr 2024 | 2,319 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | <0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 16 | 2 | 0.5 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 6 | 1.5 | 15 | |
Ifop | 18–22 Apr 2024 | 1,339 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 7 | 0.5 | 12 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 2 | – | – | 2 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 31.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
Ifop | 16–19 Apr 2024 | 1,371 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 8 | 0.5 | 11.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | – | – | 2 | 17.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 31.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 14 | |
OpinionWay | 17–18 Apr 2024 | 1,021 | <1 | – | 3 | 7 | <1 | 13 | 7 | – | <1 | – | 2 | – | – | 1 | 19 | 1 | <1 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 10 | |
Ifop | 15–18 Apr 2024 | 1,376 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | <0.5 | 11.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 17.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 32 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
OpinionWay | 16–17 Apr 2024 | 1,002 | 1 | – | 4 | 8 | <1 | 12 | 6 | – | <1 | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 19 | 2 | <1 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 10 | |
Ifop | 13–17 Apr 2024 | 1,364 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 11.5 | 7.5 | – | <0.5 | – | 2 | – | – | 1.5 | 17.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 32.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 15 | |
Ifop | 12–16 Apr 2024 | 1,349 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 3 | 7 | <0.5 | 12 | 7.5 | – | <0.5 | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 18 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 32.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 12–15 Apr 2024 | 2,005 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | <0.5 | 14 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 16 | 2 | 0.5 | 7 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 30 | 6 | 2.5 | 14 | |
Ifop | 11–15 Apr 2024 | 1,326 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 3 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 12 | 7 | – | <0.5 | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 18 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 32.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
Ifop | 9–12 Apr 2024 | 1,347 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | <0.5 | 12.5 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 18 | 1 | <0.5 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 13.5 | |
Ipsos | 10–11 Apr 2024 | 1,500 | 1 | 0.5 | 3 | 7 | 0.5 | 13 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 16 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 6.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 16 | |
Cluster17 | 9–11 Apr 2024 | 1,164 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 1 | 12 | 6 | – | 1 | – | 0.5 | 1 | – | 1.5 | 17 | 1 | 0.5 | 6 | – | 1.5 | 1.5 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 12 | |
Ifop | 8–11 Apr 2024 | 1,355 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | 0.5 | 12.5 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 18 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 13 | |
Ifop | 6–10 Apr 2024 | 1,343 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | 0.5 | 12 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 18.5 | 1 | <0.5 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31.5 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 13 | |
Ifop | 5–9 Apr 2024 | 1,335 | 1 | 0.5 | 3 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 12 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 18.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 8 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 32 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 13.5 | |
YouGov | 3–9 Apr 2024 | 1,028 | 2 | – | 2 | 5 | – | 12 | 6 | – | 1[r] | 1 | – | – | 1 | 19 | <1 | – | – | 7 | 2[q] | – | – | 29 | 9 | 2 | 10 | |
Harris Interactive | 5–8 Apr 2024 | 2,018 | 1 | – | 3 | 9 | – | 12 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | 1 | 1 | – | 1 | 17 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 6 | 3.5 | 13 | |
Ifop | 4–8 Apr 2024 | 1,343 | 1 | 0.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 11 | 6.5 | – | <0.5 | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | 19 | <0.5 | <0.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 13 | |
OpinionWay | 3–5 Apr 2024 | 1,509 | 1 | – | 2 | 7 | – | 12 | 7 | – | <1[r] | 1 | – | – | 2 | 19 | 2 | <1 | 8 | – | 1 | – | 29 | 7 | 2 | 10 | ||
Elabe | 2–4 Apr 2024 | 1,504 | 1.5 | – | 2.5 | 7.5 | – | 12 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 2 | – | – | 1 | 16.5 | 1 | <0.5 | 7 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 13.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 28–29 Mar 2024 | 2,220 | 1 | – | 3 | 8 | – | 13 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 17 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 31 | 6 | 2.5 | 14 | |
BVA | 27–28 Mar 2024 | 1,518 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7 | – | 11 | 6 | – | <0.5 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 20 | 1 | <0.5 | 8 | 3[q] | 1 | 1 | 30 | 5.5 | 1 | 10 | |
Harris Interactive | 22–25 Mar 2024 | 2,027 | 1 | – | 3 | 7 | – | 12 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 18 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 6 | 2 | 12 | |
Ifop | 19–20 Mar 2024 | 1,112 | 0.5 | – | 3 | 6 | – | 11 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 21 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 6 | 0.5 | 9 | |
Harris Interactive | 15–18 Mar 2024 | 2,124 | 1 | – | 2 | 8 | – | 13 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 12 | |
OpinionWay | 13–14 Mar 2024 | 1,008 | 1 | – | 2 | 6 | – | 11 | 8 | – | 1[r] | 1 | – | – | 1 | 20 | 1 | – | <1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | – | 27 | 6 | 3 | 7 | |
Cluster17 | 8–9 Mar 2024 | 1,016 | 0.5 | – | 3 | 8 | – | 10 | 8 | – | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 2 | 0.5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | – | 29 | 6 | 2 | 12 | |
Elabe | 5–7 Mar 2024 | 1,504 | 2 | – | 3 | 7.5 | – | 8.5 | 9.5 | – | <0.5 | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 17 | 1 | – | – | 7 | 3 | 0.5 | – | 29.5 | 4.5 | 3 | 12.5 |
YouGov | 26 Feb – 7 Mar 2024 | 1,008 | 1 | – | 2 | 6 | – | 10 | 7 | – | <1[r] | 1 | – | – | 2 | 20 | 1 | – | – | 6 | 3 | – | – | 33 | 5 | 3 | 13 | |
Ipsos | 1–6 Mar 2024 | 11,700 | 1 | 3.5 | 7 | – | 11.5 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | – | – | 1.5 | 18 | 0.5 | – | – | 7 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31 | 5 | 1.5 | 13 | |
Ipsos | 23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | 2,000 | – | – | 3.0 | 7 | – | 12.2 | 8.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 18.1 | – | – | – | 7.6 | 2.5 | – | – | 30.7 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 12.6 |
Ifop | 29 Feb – 1 Mar 2024 | 1,348 | 1 | 3.5 | 8 | – | 9 | 8 | – | 1[r] | 1 | – | – | 2 | 19 | <0.5 | 1.5 | <0.5 | 8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 10 | ||
BVA | 27–28 Feb 2024 | 1,344 | 2 | – | 3 | 7 | – | 11 | 7 | – | <0.5 | – | 1.5 | – | <0.5 | 1.5 | 18[s] | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 8 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
Odoxa | 21–22 Feb 2024 | 1,005 | 1.5 | – | 1.5 | 6 | – | 11 | 8.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | – | – | – | 19[t] | 1 | – | – | 8.5 | 4 | – | – | 30 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
Stack Data Strategy | 17–22 Feb 2024 | 744 | 0.5 | 3.1 | 9.9 | – | 9.9 | 5.6 | – | 2.8[r] | 2.6 | – | – | 1.4 | 14.5[u] | – | 1.3 | – | 4.7 | 3.1 | – | – | 31.5 | 6.5 | 3.2 | 16.0 | ||
OpinionWay | 14–15 Feb 2024 | 1,009 | <1 | – | 3 | 7 | – | 10 | 8 | – | 2[r] | 1 | – | – | <1 | 19 | 1 | – | <1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | – | 27 | 8 | 3 | 8 | |
Elabe | 7–9 Feb 2024 | 1,426 | 1.5 | – | 2.5 | 9 | – | 9 | 9.5 | – | <0.5 | – | 2 | – | – | 2 | 16.5 | 1 | – | – | 8 | 3 | 0.5 | – | 27.5 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
Ifop | 7–8 Feb 2024 | 1,356 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 7 | – | 9.5 | 8 | – | 1.5[r] | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 19[t] | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 7 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 29 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 10 | ||
1 | 3 | 7.5 | – | 10.5 | 8.5 | – | 1[r] | 1 | – | – | 1 | 19[u] | 1 | 1 | <0.5 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 1 | <0.5 | 28.5 | 6 | 1.5 | 9.5 | |||||
1 | 3.5 | 8 | – | 10.5 | 8 | – | 1.5[r] | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 18[s] | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 28 | 6 | 1.5 | 10 | |||||
YouGov | 29 Jan – 7 Feb 2024 | 1,001 | 1 | – | 2 | 8 | – | 8 | 8 | – | 1[r] | 1 | – | – | 1 | 19[v] | 1 | – | – | 6 | 2 | – | – | 32 | 8 | 3 | 13 | |
Portland | 24–31 Jan 2024 | 469 | 2 | – | 3 | 6 | – | 9 | 9 | – | 1 | – | – | – | – | – | 14 | 1 | – | – | 8 | 3 | – | – | 33 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
OpinionWay | 17–18 Jan 2024 | 1,019 | 1 | – | 4 | 8 | – | 10 | 6 | – | 2[r] | 1 | – | – | 1 | 20 | <1 | – | <1 | 8 | 2 | – | – | 27 | 7 | 3 | 7 | |
Ifop | 16–17 Jan 2024 | 1,348 | 0.5 | 4 | 7.5 | – | 9.5 | 7 | – | 1.5[r] | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 19[v] | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 6.5 | 2 | <0.5 | 0.5 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 12 | ||
Harris Interactive | 12–15 Jan 2024 | 1,217 | 1 | – | 3 | 7 | – | 11 | 8 | – | 1 | – | 2 | – | – | 1 | 19[v] | 1 | – | – | 8 | 2.5 | – | – | 28 | 6 | 1.5 | 9 |
Ifop | 12–15 Jan 2024 | 875 | 1 | 4 | 6.5 | – | 9 | 9 | – | – | – | 1 | – | – | – | 20[v] | 1 | – | – | 7.5 | 3 | – | – | 30 | 6 | 2 | 10 | |
YouGov | 8–15 Jan 2024 | 1,004 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | – | 8 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20[w] | – | – | – | 6 | 4 | – | – | 30 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
Cluster17 | 13–14 Jan 2024 | 1,209 | 1 | – | 3 | 7.5 | – | 11 | 8 | – | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 18[v] | 1 | – | – | 7 | 3 | – | – | 28.5 | 7 | 2 | 10.5 |
Elabe | 10–12 Jan 2024 | 1,400 | 1.5 | – | 3 | 7.5 | – | 9.5 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 18[w] | 1 | – | – | 8.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | – | 28.5 | 5 | 3 | 10.5 |
Ifop | 3–5 Jan 2024 | 1,090 | 0.5 | 3 | 6 | – | 10 | 9 | – | 3[r] | 2.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 17[w] | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 28 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 11 | ||
Odoxa | 13–14 Dec 2023 | 1,004 | 2.5 | – | 3 | 6.5 | – | 9 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | – | – | – | 21[w] | 0.5 | – | – | 9 | 2 | – | – | 31 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
OpinionWay | 13–14 Dec 2023 | – | 1 | – | 3 | 6 | – | 10 | 8 | – | 2[r] | <1 | – | – | 1 | 19 | <1 | – | <1 | 9 | 3 | – | – | 27 | 8 | 3 | 8 | |
Ipsos | 29 Nov – 12 Dec 2023 | 11,691 | 1.5 | 3 | 7.5 | – | 10.5 | 9.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | – | – | – | 20[w] | 0.5 | – | – | 8 | 2.5 | – | – | 28 | 6.5 | 2 | 8 | |
Ifop | 8–11 Dec 2023 | 1,062 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 7 | – | 10 | 8 | – | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | – | 18[w] | 1 | – | – | 7.5 | 2.5 | – | – | 30 | 7.5 | 1 | 12 | |
OpinionWay | 15–16 Nov 2023 | – | 2 | – | 3 | 7 | – | 9 | 8 | – | 3[r] | <1 | – | – | 1 | 19 | <1 | – | – | 8 | 2 | – | – | 28 | 7 | 3 | 9 | |
Ipsos | 9–10 Nov 2023 | 1,412 | 2 | 2 | 8.5 | – | 10 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22[x] | – | – | – | 6 | 2 | – | – | 29 | 6 | 2.5 | 7 | |
2 | 2 | 8.5 | – | 10.5 | 10.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20[w] | – | – | – | 6.5 | 2 | – | – | 29 | 6 | 3 | 9 | ||||
Ifop | 12–13 Oct 2023 | 1,515 | 1 | 5 | 9 | – | 9 | 8 | – | – | – | 2 | – | – | – | 20[w] | – | – | – | 8 | 2 | – | – | 28 | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
1 | 5 | 9 | – | 9 | 9 | – | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | – | 20[y] | – | – | – | 8.5 | 2.5 | – | – | 28 | 5 | 1 | 8 | ||||
Ifop | 30–31 Aug 2023 | 1,126 | 1 | 5 | 10 | – | 9 | 8 | – | – | – | 2 | – | – | – | 21[w] | – | – | – | 8 | 3 | – | – | 25 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 4 | |
2 | 6 | 12[z] | 10 | – | – | – | 2 | – | – | – | 23[w] | – | – | – | 9 | 3 | – | – | 25 | 7 | 2 | 2 | ||||||
1 | 5 | 9[aa] | – | 10 | 8 | – | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | – | 21[w] | – | – | – | 9 | 3 | – | – | 25 | 6.5 | 1 | 4 | ||||
Cluster17 | 16–19 Aug 2023 | 1,713 | 1.5 | – | 3 | 22.5 | – | 2.5 | – | 5 | – | – | 2.5 | 20.5[w] | – | – | – | 7 | 3 | – | – | 23 | 7 | 2.5 | 0.5 | |||
1.5 | – | 20.5 | 7.5 | – | 2.5 | – | 3 | – | – | 2.5 | 20[w] | – | – | – | 7 | 3 | – | – | 23.5 | 7 | 2 | 3 | ||||||
1.5 | – | 25[ab] | – | 2.5 | – | 4 | – | – | 2.5 | 20[w] | – | – | – | 7.5 | 4 | – | – | 24 | 7 | 2 | 1 | |||||||
1 | – | 25[ac] | – | 3 | – | 4 | – | – | 3 | 20[w] | – | – | – | 7.5 | 3.5 | – | – | 24 | 7 | 1.5 | 1 | |||||||
2 | – | 23[ad] | – | 3 | – | 4.5 | – | – | 3 | 21[w] | – | – | – | 7.5 | 3 | – | – | 24 | 7 | 2 | 1 | |||||||
2 | – | 25[ae] | – | 2.5 | – | 4.5 | – | – | 2.5 | 20[w] | – | – | – | 7 | 4 | – | – | 24 | 7 | 1.5 | 1 | |||||||
Ifop | 4–5 Jul 2023 | 1,008 | 1 | 4 | 8 | – | 9 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20[w] | – | – | – | 11 | 4 | – | – | 26 | 7 | 1 | 6 | |
Ipsos | 16–26 Jun 2023 | 10,631 | 1.5 | 4 | 8.5 | – | 10 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 21[w] | – | – | – | 9 | 2.5 | – | – | 24 | 6.5 | 3 | 3 | |
2 | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24[w] | – | – | – | 10 | 3 | – | – | 25 | 7 | 5 | 1 | ||||||||
1.5 | 5 | 9.5 | – | 15 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23[w] | – | – | – | 9 | 2.5 | – | – | 25 | 6.5 | 3 | 2 | |||||
Elabe | 19–21 Jun 2023 | 1,397 | 1.5 | 2 | 8.5 | – | 9.5 | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22.5 | – | – | – | 8.5 | 2.5 | – | – | 26 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | |
1.5 | 24.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 26 | – | – | – | 9 | 2.5 | – | – | 27 | 5.5 | 4 | 1 | ||||||||
Cluster17 | 17–19 May 2023 | 1,760 | 2 | 4 | 11 | – | 9 | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19.5[w] | – | – | – | 7.5 | 3 | – | – | 24 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 | |
2 | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23[w] | – | – | – | 8.5 | 4 | – | – | 25.5 | 7 | 3 | 1.5 | ||||||||
Ifop | 10–11 May 2023 | 1,310 | 1 | 5 | 10 | – | 10 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19[w] | – | – | – | 8 | 3 | – | – | 25 | 6 | 3 | 6 | |
2 | 26[af] | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22[w] | – | – | – | 11 | 3 | – | – | 26 | 6 | 4 | Tie | ||||||||
Harris Interactive | 5–9 May 2023 | 1,262 | 2 | 23[ag] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3 | 26 | – | – | – | 13 | 2 | – | – | 21 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||||
1 | 19[ag] | 5 | – | 6 | – | – | – | 3 | 24 | – | – | – | 12 | 2 | – | – | 20 | 5 | 3 | 4 | ||||||||
1 | 3 | 9 | – | 10 | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1 | 23 | – | – | – | 12 | 2 | – | – | 20 | 5 | 3 | 3 | ||||
2019 European election | 26 May 2019 | – | 0.8 | [ah] | 2.5 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 13.5 | 1.8[ai] | [aj] | – | [ak] | – | 0.1 | 2.2 | 24.9[al] | – | – | – | 8.5 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 23.3 | – | 7.1 | 0.9 |
Germany[edit]
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Union EPP |
Grüne G/EFA |
SPD S&D |
AfD ID |
Linke Left |
FDP Renew |
PARTEI NI |
FW Renew |
Tiersch. Left |
ÖDP G/EFA |
FAM EPP |
Volt G/EFA |
PIRAT G/EFA |
BSW NI–Left |
Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
INSA | 25–26 Apr 2024 | 1,202 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 7 | 12 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23–25 Apr 2024 | 1,228 | 30 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 13 | 13 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 9–11 Apr 2024 | 1,254 | 30 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 12 | 14 |
INSA | 5–8 Apr 2024 | 2,100 | 28.5 | 11.5 | 16.5 | 19 | 4 | 5 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 4 | 9.5 |
Ipsos | 23 Feb–02 Mar 2024 | 2,613 | 29 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 4 | 12 |
Forsa | 12–13 Mar 2024 | 1,008 | 34 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 2 | 3 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 9 | 18 |
INSA | 8–11 Mar 2024 | 2,100 | 28.5 | 11 | 16 | 20 | 4.5 | 6 | 1 | 2.5 | 2 | — | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 8.5 |
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 2,613 | 29 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 4 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 4[am] | 12 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 24–29 Feb 2024 | 1,900 | 31.5 | 16 | 12 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | — | — | — | — | 7.5 | 4.5 | 15.5 |
Stack Data Strategy | 17–22 Feb 2024 | 980 | 25.5 | 9.8 | 16.5 | 15.1 | 2.7 | 6.0 | 3.2 | 4.1 | 3.1 | — | — | 1.3 | 1.2 | 9.3 | 3.4 | 9.0 |
INSA | 8–12 Feb 2024 | 2,101 | 27 | 10.5 | 16 | 22 | 4.5 | 3 | 1 | 3.5 | 3 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 5 |
Portland | 24–31 Jan 2024 | 555 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 11–18 Jan 2024 | 1,440 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 23 | 3 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 1.5 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 4.5 | 5 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 1–7 Dec 2023 | 1,440 | 31 | 12 | 10 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 3 | 6 |
INSA | 31 Jul 2023 | 1,001 | 26 | 15 | 19 | 23 | 5 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 3 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 7–14 Jul 2023 | 1,040 | 23 | 13.5 | 15 | 22 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | — | — | — | — | 8.5 | 5.5 | 1 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 15–16 Dec 2022 | 1,100 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 18.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 2 | 3.5 | 2.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.5 | 1 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 24–26 Feb 2022 | 1,722 | 22 | 19.5 | 22.5 | 12.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.5 | 0.5 |
2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 24.1 | 14.7 | 25.7 | 10.4 | 4.9 | 11.4 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.2 | — | 0.4 | 0.4 | — | 2.9 | 1.6 |
2019 European election | 26 May 2019 | – | 28.9 | 20.5 | 15.8 | 11.0 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | — | 3.8 | 8.4 |
Greece[edit]
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | ND EPP |
SYRIZA Left |
PASOK S&D |
KKE NI |
XA[an] NI |
EL ECR |
MeRA25 Left |
PE NI |
R NI |
Antarsya NI |
SP NI |
NIKI NI |
FL NI |
NA Left |
DIMO Renew |
COS G/EFA |
Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marc/Proto Thema[122] | 18–25 Apr 2024 | 1,049 | 33.4 | 14.7 | 11.4 | 8.5 | — | 9.8 | 2.4 | 5.4 | — | — | 2.4 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1.7 | — | 2.2 | 18.7 |
GPO/Parapolitika[123] | 17–22 Apr 2024 | 1,400 | 33.6 | 16.3 | 13.5 | 8.8 | — | 9.1 | 2.1 | 3.1 | — | — | 2.4 | 3.4 | — | 2.7 | 2.2 | — | 2.8 | 17.3 |
Metron Analysis/Mega[124] | 10–16 Apr 2024 | 1,304 | 32.3 | 15.4 | 12.0 | 9.8 | — | 8.3 | 1.6 | 4.2 | — | — | 2.5 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 16.9 |
Prorata/Attica[125] | 5–10 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 29.5 | 15.0 | 12.7 | 9.2 | — | 9.8 | 2.3 | 4.6 | — | — | 1.7 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 14.5 |
Opinion Poll/Action 24[126] | 8–10 Apr 2024 | 1,006 | 32.1 | 15.0 | 12.4 | 8.5 | — | 10.7 | 1.3 | 3.7 | — | — | 2.6 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 3.0 | — | 2.3 | 17.1 |
Interview/Politic[127][128] | 4–8 Apr 2024 | 2,355 | 27.7 | 16.1 | 12.7 | 6.9 | — | 11.8 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 1.7 | — | 1.2 | 4.3 | 2.3 | 4.7 | 2.2 | — | 3.2 | 11.6 |
Alco/Alpha[129] | 2–5 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 29.9 | 14.3 | 13.3 | 9.4 | — | 9.6 | 2.3 | 4.1 | — | — | 2.7 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 3.0 | 2.2 | — | 3.5 | 15.6 |
Palmos Analysis/Eleftheros Typos[130] | 1–4 Apr 2024 | 1,008 | 31.8 | 14.1 | 13.0 | 9.4 | — | 10.3 | — | 4.2 | — | — | 3.3 | 3.5 | — | 4.0 | — | — | 6.6 | 17.7 |
GPO/Parapolitika[131] | 1–3 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 33.4 | 15.9 | 14.2 | 9.0 | — | 9.5 | 1.8 | 3.0 | — | — | 2.2 | 3.3 | — | 2.2 | 2.2 | — | 3.3 | 17.5 |
MRB/Open[132] | 1–3 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 31.5 | 15.9 | 13.4 | 8.1 | — | 9.9 | 1.9 | 4.3 | — | — | 2.1 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 1.6 | — | 2.3 | 15.6 |
Pulse RC/Skai[133] | 1–3 Apr 2024 | 1,105 | 33.0 | 15.0 | 12.5 | 8.5 | — | 9.0 | 2.5 | 3.5 | — | — | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 1.8 | — | 2.9 | 18.0 |
Opinion Poll/Action24[134] | 15–20 Mar 2024 | 1,010 | 34.4 | 13.4 | 12.5 | 9.4 | — | 10.1 | 1.9 | 2.9 | — | — | 2.5 | 4.3 | — | 2.9 | 2.8 | — | 2.8 | 21.0 |
Metron Analysis/Mega[135] | 12–19 Mar 2024 | 1,317 | 31.4 | 15.1 | 13.0 | 10.1 | — | 9.7 | 1.9 | 4.3 | — | 0.6 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 16.3 |
Good Affairs/To Vima[136] | 12–14 Mar 2024 | 3,229 | 30.8 | 13.1 | 12.9 | 8.2 | — | 9.8 | 2.2 | 2.1 | — | — | 2.2 | 3.6 | — | 2.5 | 2.9 | — | 1.5 | 17.7 |
Marc/Proto Thema[137] | 11–14 Mar 2024 | 1,086 | 36.2 | 13.4 | 12.6 | 9.4 | — | 9.2 | 2.4 | 3.1 | — | — | 2.6 | 2.8 | — | 2.6 | 2.1 | — | 3.7 | 22.8 |
GPO/Star[138] | 11–13 Mar 2024 | 1,200 | 34.8 | 14.3 | 13.9 | 9.5 | — | 8.0 | 2.3 | 2.9 | — | — | 1.8 | 3.4 | — | 3.0 | 2.6 | — | 3.5 | 20.5 |
Interview/Politic[139] | 7–11 Mar 2024 | 2,250 | 29.1 | 14.4 | 12.4 | 7.1 | — | 12.0 | — | 2.5 | — | — | 1.8 | 4.6 | — | 4.9 | — | — | 11.3 | 14.7 |
Alco/Alpha[140] | 1–6 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 32.8 | 12.7 | 14.1 | 10.8 | — | 7.9 | 2.8 | 3.6 | — | — | 2.9 | 4.5 | — | 3.4 | — | — | 4.0 | 18.7 |
Ipsos/Euronews[141] | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 35.0 | 13.6 | 13.4 | 9.0 | — | 8.7 | <3.0 | 3.2 | — | — | 2.9 | 4.0 | — | 3.3 | — | — | 3.9 | 21.4 |
Pulse RC/Skai[142] | 27 Feb–1 Mar 2024 | 1,106 | 35.5 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 9.0 | — | 8.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | — | — | 3.0 | 4.0 | — | 3.0 | — | — | 3.5 | 21.5 |
GPO/Parapolitika[143] | 26–29 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | 36.4 | 13.5 | 14.4 | 10.7 | — | 8.2 | 2.4 | 2.7 | — | — | 2.2 | 3.4 | — | 2.9 | — | — | 3.2 | 22.0 |
Opinion Poll/Action24[144] | 21–27 Feb 2024 | 1,504 | 33.9 | 11.9 | 13.9 | 10.1 | — | 10.2 | 2.6 | 3.5 | — | — | 2.7 | 4.2 | — | 3.3 | — | — | 3.7 | 20.0 |
Opinion Poll/Action24[145] | 13–16 Feb 2024 | 1,004 | 34.3 | 12.5 | 14.6 | 9.4 | — | 9.5 | 2.4 | 3.7 | — | — | 2.7 | 3.8 | — | 3.3 | — | — | 3.8 | 19.7 |
Interview/Politic[146] | 6–12 Feb 2024 | 2,155 | 33.3 | 14.2 | 12.8 | 8.3 | — | 9.1 | — | 2.6 | — | — | 2.1 | 5.1 | — | 5.1 | — | — | 9.7 | 19.1 |
Alco/Alpha[147] | 1–7 Feb 2024 | 1,201 | 34.5 | 12.6 | 15.0 | 11.2 | — | 7.5 | 2.2 | 3.1 | — | — | 2.8 | 3.9 | — | 2.6 | — | — | 4.3 | 19.5 |
GPO/Star[148] | 20–25 Jan 2024 | 1,100 | 38.8 | 14.0 | 14.2 | 9.6 | — | 7.2 | 2.7 | 2.6 | — | — | 2.2 | 3.3 | — | 3.0 | — | — | 2.4 | 24.6 |
MRB/Open[149] | 22–24 Jan 2024 | 1,000 | 36.1 | 12.1 | 12.1 | 9.3 | — | 9.5 | 2.8 | 4.0 | — | — | 2.8 | 3.7 | — | 2.7 | — | — | 4.8 | 24.0 |
Marc/Ant1[150] | 17–23 Jan 2024 | 1,092 | 37.1 | 12.6 | 16.8 | 9.4 | — | 7.0 | 2.9 | 3.0 | — | — | 3.1 | 3.1 | — | 2.4 | — | — | 2.6 | 20.3 |
Interview/Politic[151] | 10–15 Jan 2024 | 2,388 | 31.5 | 14.1 | 14.2 | 10.8 | — | 8.0 | — | 2.3 | — | — | 2.6 | 5.2 | — | 4.1 | — | — | 7.2 | 17.3 |
Prorata/Attica[152] | 5–9 Jan 2024 | 1,000 | 36.6 | 12.8 | 15.9 | 11.0 | — | 6.1 | 1.8 | 3.0 | — | — | 3.7 | 3.7 | — | 3.7 | — | — | 1.8 | 20.7 |
Alco/Alpha[153] | 2–5 Jan 2024 | 1,002 | 35.3 | 13.8 | 14.3 | 11.3 | — | 6.9 | 2.4 | 3.3 | — | — | 3.2 | 3.3 | — | 2.7 | — | — | 3.6 | 21.0 |
Interview/Politic[154] | 4–8 Dec 2023 | 2,356 | 34.0 | 16.1 | 14.4 | 7.9 | — | 7.6 | — | 3.0 | — | — | 2.3 | 3.8 | — | 2.9 | — | — | 7.9 | 17.9 |
GPO/Parapolitika[155] | 5–7 Dec 2023 | 1,000 | 41.7 | 12.1 | 13.5 | 10.3 | — | 6.6 | 1.9 | 2.1 | — | — | 3.4 | 2.4 | — | 3.7 | — | — | 2.3 | 28.3 |
2019 election | 26 May 2019 | – | 33.1 | 23.8 | 7.7 | 5.4 | 4.9 | 4.2 | 3.0[ao] | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.5[ap] | — | — | — | — | — | 13.7 | 9.3 |
Hungary[edit]
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Fidesz-KDNP NI–EPP |
Momentum Renew |
DK S&D |
MSZP S&D |
P G/EFA |
LMP G/EFA |
Jobbik NI |
MMN EPP |
Our Homeland NI |
MKKP G/EFA |
MEMO NI |
NP NI |
2RK NI |
TISZA EPP |
Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
IDEA | 25 Apr - 4 May 2024 | 1,500 | 40 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | – | 2 | 3 | 21 | 2 | 19 | ||
Nézőpont | 29 Apr – 2 May 2024 | 1,000 | 48 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | – | 0 | 3 | 21 | – | 27 | ||
Publicus | 26-30 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 42 | 3 | 24 | 1 | 1 | – | 4 | 2 | – | – | – | 23 | – | 18 | ||
Medián | 26-29 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 45 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | – | 1 | 2 | 25 | – | 20 | ||
Iránytű | 17–19 Apr 2024 | 1,073 | 50 | 3 | 10 | – | 1 | – | 3 | 4 | – | – | 2 | 26 | 1 | 24 | ||
9–12 Apr 2024 | 53 | 3 | 9 | – | 2 | – | 6 | 4 | – | – | 1 | 20 | 2 | 33 | ||||
Závecz Research | 4–11 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 33 | 7 | 26 | 3 | 1 | – | 8 | 5 | – | – | – | 14 | 3 | 7 | ||
Nézőpont | 2–4 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 47 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | – | 2 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 34 | ||
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,025 | 47.6 13 |
7.2 1 |
16.5 4 |
– | – | 2.6 0 |
2.8 0 |
3.0 0 |
9.6 2 |
4.2 0 |
2.0 0 |
– | – | – | 4.7 | 31.1 |
Nézőpont | 26–28 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | 47 13 |
7 1 |
14 3 |
2 0 |
2 0 |
2 0 |
2 0 |
4 0 |
8 2 |
8 2 |
– | 1 0 |
4 0 |
– | – | 33 |
21 Kutatóközpont | 22–26 Feb 2024 | 1,200 | 44 | 9 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | – | 1 | 2 | – | – | 26[aq] |
44 | 9 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 | – | 3 | 3 | – | – | 27[ar] | |||
Republikon | Jun 2023 | – | 46 | 7 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 6 | – | 9 | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | 27 | |
Nézőpont | 15–17 May 2023 | 1,000 | 51 | 9 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | – | 6 | 3 | – | – | – | – | 4 | 35 |
Závecz Research | 28 Apr–5 May 2023 | 1,000 | 46 | 8 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | – | 7 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 27 |
Nézőpont | 2–4 Jan 2023 | 1,000 | 56 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | – | 4 | – | – | – | – | 6 | 42 |
2022 parliamentary election | 3 Apr 2022 | – | 54.1 | 34.4 | 5.9 | 3.3 | 1.0 | – | – | – | 1.3 | 19.7 | ||||||
2019 election | 26 May 2019 | – | 52.6 | 9.9 | 16.1 | 6.6 | 2.2 | 6.3 | – | 3.3 | 2.6 | – | – | – | – | 0.4 | 36.5 |
Italy[edit]
Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | Lega ID |
PD S&D |
M5S NI |
FI EPP |
NM EPP |
FdI ECR |
AVS Left–G/EFA |
PTD[as] Left |
SUE | A Renew |
DSP NI |
Italexit NI |
Libertà NI |
Others | Lead | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
+E Renew |
IV Renew | |||||||||||||||||
17–22 Apr | SWG | 1,200 | 8.5 | 20.0 | 15.9 | 8.4 | 26.8 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 4.7 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 6.8 | |||
17–19 Apr | Quorum | 801 | 7.2 | 20.5 | 16.5 | 7.6 | 27.8 | 4.4 | 1.9 | 5.0 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 4.2 | 7.3 | ||||
17–18 Apr | Demos | 1,005 | 8.5 | 20.2 | 16.4 | 8.0 | 28.0 | 4.2 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 6.6 | 7.8 | ||||||
16–18 Apr | Termometro Politico | 4,100 | 8.5 | 19.7 | 16.1 | 8.3 | 27.5 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 7.8 | |||
16–17 Apr | Eumetra | 8.5 | 19.7 | 16.4 | 8.3 | 27.4 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 5.1 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 7.7 | ||||
10–15 Apr | SWG | 1,200 | 8.6 | 19.4 | 16.0 | 8.4 | 27.2 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 5.2 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 7.8 | |||
13 Apr | Tecnè | 7.9 | 19.8 | 16.2 | 10.1 | 27.3 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 5.5 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 7.5 | |||||
8–12 Apr | Ixè | 1,000 | 8.0 | 19.9 | 16.4 | 8.4 | 26.6 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 6.4 | 6.7 | ||||
9–11 Apr | Termometro Politico | 3,700 | 8.8 | 19.5 | 15.6 | 8.0 | 27.8 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 5.1 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 8.3 | |||
8–9 Apr | Demopolis | 2,000 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 15.8 | 8.7 | 27.0 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 4.6 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 7.0 | ||||
3–8 Apr | SWG | 1,200 | 8.8 | 19.8 | 15.6 | 7.8 | 26.9 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 5.3 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3.4 | 7.1 | |||
8 Apr | Euromedia | 800 | 8.7 | 19.7 | 17.6 | 8.5 | 26.9 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 4.4 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 7.2 | ||||
5 Apr 2024 | EMG | – | 7.8 | 20.2 | 16.7 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 27.2 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 7.0 | ||||
4–5 Apr | Quorum | 801 | 7.5 | 19.8 | 16.0 | 7.8 | 27.7 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 4.7 | 7.9 | ||||
2–4 Apr | EMG | 1,000 | 7.8 | 20.2 | 16.7 | 9.0 | 27.2 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 5.2 | 7.0 | |||||
28–30 Mar | BiDiMedia | 2,000 | 8.3 | 20.2 | 16.6 | 7.1 | 27.1 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 5.1 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 6.9 | |||
27 Mar 2024 | Euromedia | 800 | 8.8 | 19.3 | 17.5 | 8.0 | 0.7 | 27.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 4.7 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 8.2[at] | |||
8.7 | 19.5 | 17.5 | 8.3 | 0.6 | 27.9 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 4.8 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 8.5[au] | ||||||
19–25 Mar 2024 | Ipsos | 1,000 | 8.0 | 20.5 | 16.1 | 8.7 | 0.7 | 27.5 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 7.0 | |
20 Mar 2024 | Ipsos | – | 8.2 | 19.0 | 17.4 | 8.2 | 27.0 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 7.1 | 8.0 | |||||
19 Mar 2024 | Noto | – | 8.0 | 19.0 | 17.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 28.0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 9.0[at] | ||||
7.0 | 20.0 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 30.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 10.0[au] | |||||||
11 Mar 2024 | Euromedia | 800 | 8.7 | 19.7 | 17.2 | 7.7 | 0.7 | 28.0 | 3.9 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 8.3[at] | ||||
8.6 | 20.2 | 16.9 | 8.2 | 0.4 | 28.7 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 3.8 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 8.5[au] | |||||||
7 Mar 2024 | Noto | – | 8.0 | 19.5 | 16.5 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 27.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 7.5[at] | ||||
7.5 | 20.5 | 16.5 | 8.0 | 1.5 | 29.0 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 8.5[au] | |||||||
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | Ipsos | 1,503 | 8.2 | 19.0 | 17.4 | 8.2 | 27.0 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 7.1 | 8.0 | |||||
28 Feb – 1 Mar 2024 | Quorum | 803 | 8.1 | 19.9 | 15.9 | 6.6 | 0.7 | 27.1 | 4.6 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 4.9 | 7.2 | |||
28 Feb 2024 | Euromedia | 800 | 8.6 | 19.6 | 17.0 | 7.9 | 1.4 | 27.6 | 4.0 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 4.3 | 3.9 | 8.0[at] | ||||
8.7 | 20.0 | 17.2 | 8.5 | 1.2 | 28.1 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 2.4 | 8.1[au] | |||||||
26–28 Feb 2024 | Bidimedia | 1,000 | 8.5 | 20.0 | 15.5 | 7.5 | 0.8 | 28.1 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 8.1 | |
25–28 Feb 2024 | Cluster17 | 1,022 | 9.1 | 19.7 | 16.0 | 7.6 | 0.4 | 27.3 | 4.6 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 7.6 | |
20–22 Feb 2024 | Ipsos | 1,000 | 8.3 | 18.3 | 17.0 | 7.9 | 1.1 | 28.2 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 3.6 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 9.9 | |
17–22 Feb 2024 | Stack Data Strategy | 944 | 8.7 | 19.9 | 15.5 | 6.6 | 0.9 | 27.1 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 4.2 | 4.9 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 7.3 | ||
21 Feb 2024 | Noto | – | 8.0 | 19.5 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 27.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 8.0 | ||||
30 Jan – 1 Feb 2024 | Termometro Politico | 3,800 | 9.4 | 19.6 | 16.2 | 6.8 | 29.1 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 9.5 | ||
30–31 Jan 2024 | Demopolis | – | 9.0 | 20.0 | 15.8 | 7.2 | 28.0 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 3.8 | 8.1 | 8.0 | |||||
24–31 Jan 2024 | Portland | 502 | 7.0 | 21.0 | 16.0 | 10.0 | 28.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0[av] | 7.0 | |||
24–27 Jan 2024 | BiDiMedia | 1,000 | 9.0 | 19.3 | 16.1 | 6.6 | 1.0 | 28.6 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 9.3 | |
25–26 Jan 2024 | Quorum | 803 | 9.3 | 19.2 | 13.6 | 6.5 | 1.6 | 28.4 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 6.4 | 9.2 | |||
22–24 Jan 2024 | Winpoll | 1,000 | 9.1 | 21.5 | 14.6 | 7.8 | 27.8 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 5.3[aw] | 6.3 | |||
12–22 Jan 2024 | Euromedia | 800 | 8.4 | 19.5 | 17.8 | 7.5 | 0.3 | 28.5 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 3.6 | 9.0[at] | |||
8.2 | 19.0 | 18.1 | 7.2 | 0.3 | 29.3 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 2.9 | 9.3[au] | ||||||
16 Jan 2024 | Noto | – | 8.0 | 19.5 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 28.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 8.5[ax] | ||||
6.5 | 20.0 | 17.0 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 32.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 12.0[au] | |||||||
15–16 Jan 2024 | Tecnè | 800 | 8.4 | 19.8 | 15.6 | 9.2 | 29.0 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 11.2 | 9.2[at] | |||||||
8.3 | 19.5 | 15.6 | 9.3 | 29.3 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 11.0 | 9.8[au] | ||||||||||
4 Jan 2024 | IZI | 1,068 | 9.3 | 19.5 | 17.0 | 7.4 | 27.1 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 6.0 | 7.6 | |||||
30 Dec – 4 Jan 2024 | Lab2101 | 1,000 | 10.2 | 19.8 | 16.2 | 5.8 | 0.7 | 29.4 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 9.6 | |||
26 May 2019 | 2019 European election | – | 34.3 | 22.7 | 17.1 | 8.8 | 6.4 | 4.1[ay] | 3.1 | – | – | 0.9 | – | – | 4.5 | 7.6 |
Ireland[edit]
Last date of polling |
Polling firm / Commissioner | Sample size |
SF Left |
FF Renew |
FG EPP |
GP G/EFA |
Lab S&D |
SD | PBP–S | Aon | O/I[az] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 May 2024 | The Journal/Ireland Thinks[156] | 1,633 | 22 | 16 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 24 |
7 April 2024 | TheJournal.ie/Ireland Thinks[157] | 1,334 | 23 | 17 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 |
7 February 2024 | The Journal/Ireland Thinks[158] | 1,255 | 26 | 19 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | – [ba] | 19 |
8 February 2020 | 2020 general election | — | 24.5 | 22.2 | 20.9 | 7.1 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 13.5 |
24 May 2019 | 2019 EP election | — | 11.7 | 16.6 | 29.6 | 11.4 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 2.3 | – [bb] | 24.1 |
Latvia[edit]
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
JV EPP |
S S&D |
NA ECR |
LA Renew |
Par! Renew |
ZZS | AS | JKP | PRO G/EFA |
TZV | CP | TVS | S! | LPV | SV | AJ | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SKDS/LTV[159] | March 2024 | 1.505 | 16.6 (1) | 10.1 (1) | 17.1 (2) | 8.9 (1) | 1.5 | 3.4 | 6.1 (1) | 3.5 | 9.6 (1) | 0.2 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 6.4 (1) | 8.2 (1) | 3.8 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
SKDS/LTV[160] | 10-14 February 2024 | 1,505 | 17.9 (2) | 9.1 (1) | 16.5 (1) | 9.2 (1) | 0.6 | 4.0 | 7.4 (1) | 3.5 | 8.9 (1) | 0.8 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 7.5 (1) | 6.6 (1) | 3.2 | 2.3 | 1.4 |
2019 election | 25 May 2019 | – | 26.4 (2) | 17.6 (2) | 16.5 (2) | 12.5 (1) | 5.6 (0) | 5.0 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 6.8 (1)[bc] | 0.2 | 8.7 |
Lithuania[edit]
Pollster | Fieldwork dates | Sample size | TS–LKD | LVŽS | DP | LSDP | LP | LRLS | LRP | PLT | DSVL | Others[bd] | DK/WV[be] | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Baltijos tyrimai | 10-21 April 2024 | 1,020 | 8.4 2 |
6.8 1 |
5.2 1 |
15.9 3 |
2.4 0 |
3.9 1 |
3.0 1 |
1.6 0 |
7.8 2 |
3.7[bf] 0 |
41.3 | 7.5 |
2019 election | 1,259,954 | 19.74 3 |
12.56 2 |
8.99 1 |
15.88 2 |
– | 6.59 1 |
2.36 0 |
1.92 0 |
– | 31.96 2 |
– | 3.86 |
Luxembourg[edit]
No opinion polls are expected to be done for the European Parliament election in Luxembourg. The results of recent elections are shown in the absence of that.
Polling execution | Parties | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polling
firm |
Fieldwork
date |
Sample
size |
DP Renew |
CSV EPP |
Greens G/EFA |
LSAP S&D |
ADR ECR |
Pirate G/EFA |
Lénk Left |
Volt G/EFA |
KPL | DK | Fokus |
Others |
2023 general election[161] | 19.1 (2) |
29.3 (3) |
8.3 (0) |
18.2 (1) |
9.6 (0) |
6.7 (0) |
3.6 (0) |
0.2 (0) |
0.5 (0) |
1.4 (0) |
2.6 (0) |
— | ||
2023 municipal elections[162] | 19.8 (1) |
26.5 (2) |
11.6 (1) |
21.9 (2) |
20.3 (0) | |||||||||
2019 EP election[163] | 21.4 (2) |
21.1 (2) |
18.9 (1) |
12.2 (1) |
10.0 (0) |
7.7 (0) |
4.8 (0) |
2.1 (0) |
1.1 (0) |
0.5 (0) |
— |
Malta[edit]
It is not uncommon for smaller parties to be grouped together in polls, or totally excluded by Maltese media houses, who typically align with government or opposition. Where it comes to the third parties and independents, they have always outperformed opinion polling.
Dates Conducted | Polling firm | Sample size |
PL S&D |
EPP |
ABBA | IND/ Others |
Lead | Not voting[bg] |
Don't know/ Invalid[bg] | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15–24 April 2024 | MaltaToday | 656 | 50.7 | 44.2 | 5.1 | 6.5 | 29 | – | ||||
1–13 April 2024 | Esprimi | 600 | 45.4 | 38.0 | 3.2 | 13.4 | 7.4 | – | 41.0 | |||
7 March - 21 March 2024 | MaltaToday | 657 | 52.8 | 42.6 | 4.6 | 10.2 | 23.4 | – | ||||
27 Feb –12 Mar 2024 | Esprimi/Times of Malta | 600 | 52.4 | 39.3 | 8.3 | 13.1 | 33 | |||||
26 Jan –05 Feb 2024 | MaltaToday | 647 | 47.9 | 41.0 | 11.1 | 6.9 | 37.5 | |||||
26 Mar 2022 | 2022 Maltese general election | – | 55.1 | 41.7 | n/a | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 13.4 | 24.4 | 2.9 |
25 May 2019 | 2019 European Parliament election in Malta | – | 54.3 | 37.9 | 3.17 | 2.7[bh] | 0.5[bi] | n/a | 1.2 | 16.4 | 27.3 | 2.6 |
Netherlands[edit]
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Total | GL–PvdA | VVD Renew |
CDA EPP |
FvD NI |
D66 Renew |
SGP ECR |
CU EPP |
PvdD Left |
50PLUS Renew |
PVV ID |
SP Left |
Volt G/EFA |
JA21 ECR |
BBB EPP |
NSC EPP |
Others | Lead | Ref | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PvdA S&D |
GL G/EFA | |||||||||||||||||||||
Peil.nl | 3–4 May 2024 | – | 31 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Tie | [164] | |
I&O Research | 12–15 Apr 2024 | 2,182 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | [165] | |
I&O Research | 22–25 Mar 2024 | 1,586 | 31 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | [166] | |
Ipsos | 23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | 1,890 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | [167] | |
2019 election | 23 May 2019 | – | 26 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | – | 0 | 2 |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
GL–PvdA | VVD Renew |
CDA EPP |
FvD NI |
D66 Renew |
SGP ECR |
CU EPP |
PvdD Left |
50PLUS Renew |
PVV ID |
SP Left |
Volt G/EFA |
DENK NI |
JA21 ECR |
BBB EPP |
NSC EPP |
Others | Lead | Ref | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PvdA S&D |
GL G/EFA | |||||||||||||||||||||
I&O Research | 12–15 Apr 2024 | 2,182 | 18.7% | 12.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | – | 22.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | – | 1.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 3.3% | [165] | |
I&O Research | 22–25 Mar 2024 | 1,586 | 18.6% | 14.1% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | – | 25.1% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | – | 6.5% | [166] | |
Ipsos | 23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | 1,890 | 16.0% | 12.7% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | – | 22.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | – | – | 4.5% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | [167] | |
Portland | 24–31 Jan 2024 | 535 | 17% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 25% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 1% | 8% | [168] | |
2023 parliamentary election | 22 Nov 2023 | – | 15.8% | 15.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 23.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 4.6% | 12.9% | 1.4% | 7.7% | ||
2023 provincial elections | 15 Mar 2023 | – | 8.4%[bj] | 9.0% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 3.9%[bk] | 4.8% | 2.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 4.4% | 19.2% | – | 4.7% | 8.0% | |
2021 parliamentary election | 15–17 Mar 2021 | – | 5.7% | 5.2% | 21.9% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 15.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | – | 2.8% | 6.9% | |
2019 election | 23 May 2019 | – | 19.0% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | – | – | – | 0.5% | 4.4% |
Poland[edit]
Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
United Right ECR |
Third Way EPP–Ren. |
Civic Coalition EPP–G/EFA–Ren. |
The Left S&D |
Confederation NI |
Others | Don't know | Lead | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Law and Justice | Kukiz'15 | SLD | Spring | Left Together | |||||||||
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat | 7–8 May 2024 | 1,000 | 29.3 | 12.1 | 28.3 | 9.7 | 9.9 | 1.5 | 9.2 | 1.0 | |||
Opinia24 / TOK FM | 6–8 May 2024 | 1,001 | 30.6 | 7.7 | 30.8 | 9.0 | 8.3 | 2.7[bl] | 10.9 | 0.2 | |||
OGB | 22–25 Apr 2024 | 804 | 32.66 18 |
13.81 7 |
33.21 18 |
5.57 3 |
12.30 7 |
2.45 0 |
0.55 | ||||
Ipsos / Euronews | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 29.2 | 16.5 | 31.3 | 8.4 | 13.9 | 2.1 | |||||
Opinia24 / TOK FM | 26–28 Feb 2024 | 1,002 | 22 | 11 | 31 | 11 | 10 | 3[bm] | 11 | 9 | |||
Opinia24 / More In Common Polska | 2–13 Feb 2024 | 2,027 | 29.0 | 14.0 | 33.5 | 8.5 | 7.5 | 1.3 | 6.2 | 4.5 | |||
Portland Communications | 24–31 Jan 2024 | 632 | 29 | 16 | 35 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 6 | ||||
Parliamentary election | 15 Oct 2023 | 21,596,674[bn] | 35.38 | 14.40 | 30.70 | 8.61 | 7.16 | 3.71 | 4.68 | ||||
Parliamentary election | 13 Oct 2019 | 18,678,457[bo] | 43.59 | 8.55 | 27.40 | 12.56 | 6.81 | 1.09 | 16.19 | ||||
European election | 26 May 2019 | 13,647,311[bp] | 45.38 27 |
3.69 0 |
38.47 22 |
6.06 3 |
1.24 0 |
4.55 0 |
0.60 | 6.91 | |||
Portugal[edit]
Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | O | Lead | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
S&D | EPP | EPP | ECPM | ID | Left | Left | G/EFA | G/EFA | Renew | ||||||
Intercampus[bq] | 18–23 Apr 2024 | 605 | ? | 33.4 8 |
28.2 7 |
13.0 3 |
7.4 1 |
3.3 0 |
1.3 0 |
5.8 1 |
4.4 1 |
3.3 0 |
5.2 | ||
Aximage | 12–16 Apr 2024 | 805 | 58.0 | 31.3 7/8 |
24.8 6 |
18.4 4 |
5.9 1 |
4.1 1 |
1.8 0 |
3.6 0/1 |
5.8 1 |
4.3 0 |
6.5 | ||
2024 legislative elections | 10 Mar 2024 | — | 59.8 | 28.0 (7) |
28.8 (8) |
18.1 (4) |
4.4 (1) |
3.2 (0) |
1.9 (0) |
3.2 (0) |
4.9 (1) |
7.5 (0) |
0.8 | ||
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 2,000 | ? | 29.6 8 |
31.0 8 |
3.4 0 |
– | 14.2 3 |
4.4 1 |
2.3 0 |
2.1 0 |
3.6 0 |
4.5 1 |
4.9 0 |
1.4 |
2022 legislative elections | 30 Jan 2022 | — | 51.5 | 41.4 (10) |
29.1 (7) |
1.6 (0) |
0.0 (0) |
7.2 (1) |
4.4 (1) |
4.3 (1) |
1.6 (0) |
1.3 (0) |
4.9 (1) |
4.7 (0) |
11.5 |
2019 legislative elections | 6 Oct 2019 | — | 48.6 | 36.3 (10) |
27.8 (7) |
4.2 (1) |
0.2 (0) |
1.3 (0) |
9.5 (2) |
6.3 (1) |
3.3 (0) |
1.1 (0) |
1.3 (0) |
8.8 (0) |
8.5 |
2019 EP election | 26 May 2019 | — | 30.7 | 33.4 9 |
21.9 6 |
6.2 1 |
1.5 0 |
9.8 2 |
6.9 2 |
5.1 1 |
1.8 0 |
0.9 0 |
12.5 0 |
11.5 | |
Romania[edit]
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
CNR | PUSL S&D |
AUR | ADU | PRO S&D |
UDMR EPP |
AER | AD ECR |
S.O.S. ID |
REPER Renew |
Others | Lead | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PNL EPP |
PSD S&D |
PNȚCD ECR |
AUR ECR |
FD EPP |
PMP EPP |
USR Renew |
PER NI |
PV G/EFA | |||||||||||
INSCOP | 12–20 April 2024 | 1,100 | 46.6 | 1.5 | — | 16.7 | 13.8 | 2.7 | 5.1 | 2.4 | 2.0 | — | 4.5 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 29.9 | |||
AtlasIntel | 5-9 April 2024 | 1,764 | 31.6 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 19.9 | 24.6 | 3 | 4.9 | 2 | — | — | 8 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 7 | |||
CSPS | 1-7 April 2024 | 4,085 | 27.2 | — | — | 30.2 | 23.4 | — | 4.8 | — | — | — | 2.8 | 5.8 | 5.7 | 3 | |||
Sociopol | 26 March-2 April 2024 | 1,002 | 47 | 5 | — | 23 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 2 | — | — | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | |||
CURS | 19-28 March 2024 | 1,067 | 53 | 4 | — | 14 | 14 | — | 5 | — | — | — | 5 | — | 5 | 39 | |||
CSPS | 17-29 March 2024 | 2,088 | 37 | — | — | 27 | 21 | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 10 | |||
Euractiv | March 2024 | — | 42 | — | — | 25 | 14 | 2 | 5 | — | — | — | 5 | 1 | 6 | 17 | |||
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 970 | 42.4 | 3.0 | — | 20.7 | 14.2 | 5.1 | 3.4 | — | — | — | 5.9 | — | 5.2 | 21.7 | |||
INSCOP | 22-29 Feb 2024 | 1,100 | 43.7 | — | — | 20.6 | 13.7 | 3.7 | 3.9 | 3.4 | — | 6.4 | 0.9 | 3.7 | 23.1 | ||||
Sociopol | Feb 2024 | – | 42 | 1 | — | 28 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 2 | — | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1[br] | 14 | |||
17 | 31 | 1 | — | 24 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 2 | — | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1[bs] | 14 | |||||
INSOMAR | Feb 2024 | 1,030 | 40.8 | 1.5 | — | 30.5 | 11.5 | 1.7 | 4.5 | — | — | — | 2 | — | 7.5[bt] | 10.3 | |||
Avangarde | 19–20 Feb 2024 | 950 | 20 | 31 | — | — | 18 | 15 | — | 5 | — | — | — | 8 | 2 | 1 | 11 | ||
CURS | 3–14 Feb 2024 | 1,067 | 20 | 31 | 2 | — | 20 | 13 | 2 | 4 | — | — | — | 4 | — | 4[bu] | 11 | ||
60m.ro | 20 Jan 2024 | 927 | 16 | 28 | — | — | 30 | 17 | — | 5 | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | 2 | ||
INSCOP | 16-24 Jan 2024 | 1,100 | 18.8 | 29.5 | — | — | 18.4 | 12.9 | 3.0 | 4.8 | 3.5 | — | 6.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 10.7 | |||
CURS | 15–27 Jan 2024 | 1,082 | 19 | 30 | 3 | — | 21 | 14 | — | 5 | — | — | — | 4 | — | 4 | 9 | ||
Avangarde | 8-22 Jan 2024 | 1,150 | 21 | 31 | — | — | 19 | 14 | — | 5 | — | — | — | 8 | 1 | 1 | 10 | ||
INSOMAR | Jan 2024 | 1,050 | 21 | 25 | — | — | 22 | — | 2 | 9 | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | 3 | — | 9[bv] | 3 |
Sociopol | Jan 2024 | – | 17 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 2 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1[bw] | 6 | ||
CIRA | Jan 2024 | 1,000 | 20 | 30 | — | — | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | — | 5 | — | — | — | 6 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
CURS | 26–30 Dec 2023 | 852 | 19 | 31 | 4 | — | 19 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 4 | — | — | — | 5 | — | 2 | 12 |
Mercury Research | 30 Oct–6 Nov 2023 | 1,227 | 16 | 26 | 0 | — | 19 | 22 | — | 3 | — | — | — | 7 | 1 | 5 | 4 | ||
16 | 28 | 1 | — | 19 | 2 | 4 | 15 | — | 3 | — | — | — | 7 | 1 | 3 | 9 | |||
Avangarde | 20–28 Sep 2023 | 994 | 21 | 31 | — | — | 19 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 5 | — | — | — | 5 | — | 1 | 10 |
LARICS | 11–25 Sep 2023 | 1,003 | 22.9 | 31.5 | 1.0 | — | 14.6 | — | 4.4 | 15.2 | — | 3.2 | — | — | — | 4.7 | — | 2.4 | 8.6 |
INSOMAR | 28–31 Aug 2023 | 1,030 | 15 | 25 | 2 | — | 27 | 3 | 3 | 7 | — | 4 | — | — | — | 4 | — | 10 | 2 |
2020 parliamentary election | 6 Dec 2020 | 6.058.625 | 25.2 | 28.9 | 1.0 | — | 9.1 | — | 4.9 | 15.4 | 4.1 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | — | — | 4.1 | 3.7 |
2019 election | 26 May 2019 | 9.069.822 | 27.0 | 22.5 | — | — | 5.8 | 22.4 | 6.4 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 6.6 | 4.5 |
Slovenia[edit]
Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Publisher(s) | Sample size | SDS EPP |
SLS EPP |
SD S&D |
NSi EPP |
Levica Left |
DeSUS EDP |
GS Renew |
Resni.ca NI |
PPS G/EFA |
Vesna G/EFA |
Logar NI |
Prebilič NI |
Gregorčič NI |
Rupar NI |
NOT NI |
Others | None | Und. | Abst. | Lead | Source |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23–25 Apr 2024 | Mediana | POPTV | 723 | 21.7 | 3.3 | 5.7 | 7.1 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 15.5 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 7.1 | – | – | – | – | 0.9 | 0.2 | 4.3 | 14.7 | 4.2 | 6.2 | [169] |
5–7 Mar 2024 | Mediana | Delo | 723 | 20.7 | 2.4 | 6.4 | 6.2 | 4.5 | – | 13.0 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 3.3 | – | – | – | 2.7 | – | 1.7 | 6.4 | 18.6 | 4.3 | 7.7 | [170] |
4–7 Dec 2023 | Ninamedia | – | 700 | 14.6 | – | 11.4 | 6.3 | 4.0 | – | 11.6 | – | – | – | 12.4 | 8.3 | 3.7 | 0.9 | – | – | – | 19.7 | 7.1 | 2.2 | [171] |
24 April 2022 | 2022 parliamentary election | – | – | 23.48 | 3.41 | 6.69 | 6.86 | 4.46 | 0.66 | 40.23[bx] | 2.86 | 1.63 | 1.35 | — | — | — | — | — | 7.83 | (29.04) | 16.75 | |||
26 May 2019 | 2019 election | – | – | 26.25 | 18.66 | 11.12 | 6.43 | 5.67 | 19.46[by] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12.41 | (71.11) | 6.79 |
Slovakia[edit]
Polling firm | Date | Sample size |
PS Renew |
Democrats EPP |
Smer NI |
ĽSNS NI |
Život NI |
SNS ID |
KDH EPP |
SASKA ECR |
KÚ ECR |
OĽaNO EPP |
ZĽ EPP |
MA EPP |
SR ID |
Hlas S&D |
Republika NI |
Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NMS[172] | 18–24 April 2024 | 1,010 | 24.3% 5 |
4.4% 0 |
19.8% 4 |
0.7% 0 |
3.2% 0 |
4.6% 0 |
7.0% 1 |
0.8% 0 |
3.6% 0 |
2.9% 0 |
— | 12.0% 3 |
10.7% 2 |
5.8%[bz] | 4.5 | ||
AKO[173] | 9–16 April 2024 | 1,000 | 27.2% 5 |
2.7% 0 |
15.2% 3 |
1.0% 0 |
4.1% 0 |
6.7% 1 |
6.5% 1 |
0.8% 0 |
3.2% 0 |
5.0% 1 |
— | 14.2% 3 |
7.5% 1 |
5.9%[ca] | 12.0 | ||
Ipsos[174] | 23 February – 5 March 2024 | 1,502 | 24.6% 5 |
2.3% 0 |
26.7% 5 |
2.1% 0 |
4.8% 0 |
8.2% 2 |
4.6% 0 |
4.9% 0 |
2.4% 0 |
— | 11.8% 2 |
6.4% 1 |
1.2% | 2.1 | |||
2023 elections | 30 Sep 2023 | 2,967,896 | 17.96% | 2.21% | 22.95% | 0.84% | 5.63% | 6.82% | 6.32% | 8.90% | 4.39% | 2.93% | 14.70% | 4.75% | 1.60% | 4.99 | |||
2020 elections | 29 Feb 2020 | 2,881,511 | 6.97% | 18.29% | 7.97% | 3.16% | 4.65% | 6.22% | 25.03% | 5.77% | 3.91% | 8.24% | — | — | 9.34% | 6.74 | |||
2019 elections | 25 May 2019 | 985,680 | 20.11% 4 |
15.72% 3 |
12.07% 2 |
2.07% 0 |
4.09% 0 |
9.70% 2 |
9.62% 2 |
3.85% 0 |
5.26% 1 |
— | 4.96% 0 |
3.23% 0 |
— | — | 9.32% | 4.29 |
Sweden[edit]
Polling execution | Parties | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | V Left |
S S&D |
MP G/EFA |
C Renew |
L Renew |
M EPP |
KD EPP |
SD ECR |
Oth. | Lead |
Demoskop | 24 Apr–7 May 2024 | 3,970 | 8.7 2 |
28.5 6 |
9.2 2 |
4.6 1 |
3.2 0 |
17.3 4 |
4.4 1 |
19.9 5 |
4.2 0 |
8.6 |
Verian | 25–30 Apr 2024 | 1,900 | 8.8 2 |
29.7 7 |
9.5 2 |
4.5 1 |
3.7 0 |
18.3 4 |
4.2 1 |
17.2 4 |
4.2 0 |
11.4 |
Novus | 1–28 Apr 2024 | 2,311 | 8.5 2 |
31.1 8 |
10.3 2 |
3.6 0 |
3.8 0 |
17.7 4 |
3.5 0 |
18.8 5 |
2.6 0 |
12.3 |
Indikator Opinion | 28 Mar–22 Apr 2024 | 6,943 | 8.1 2 |
32.3 8 |
9.7 2 |
4.6 1 |
3.3 0 |
19.0 4 |
2.3 0 |
18.6 4 |
2.1 0 |
12.9 |
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,003 | 9.6 2 |
30.4 6 |
8.3 2 |
7.0 1 |
4.7 1 |
16.4 4 |
4.5 1 |
17.5 4 |
1.5 0 |
12.9 |
Novus | 19 Feb–3 Mar 2024 | 504 | 7.3 2 |
32.4 7 |
8.0 2 |
4.6 1 |
3.3 0 |
18.1 4 |
4.2 1 |
20.5 4 |
1.7 0 |
11.9 |
2022 general election | 11 Sep 2022 | – | 6.8 1 |
30.3 7 |
5.1 1 |
6.7 1 |
4.6 1 |
19.1 4 |
5.3 1 |
20.5 5 |
1.5 0 |
9.8 |
2019 EP election | 26 May 2019 | – | 6.8 1 |
23.5 5 |
11.5 3 |
10.8 2 |
4.1 1 |
16.8 4 |
8.6 2 |
15.3 3 |
2.5 0 |
6.7 |
Spain[edit]
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | AR | Lead | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SocioMétrica/El Español[175] | 30 Apr–4 May 2024 | 1,279 | ? | 26.7 18 |
39.2 26 |
1.2 0 |
3.0 2 |
10.3 7 |
5.4 3 |
2.3 1 |
1.4 1 |
[cb] | 6.4 4 |
12.5 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[176] | 24–30 Apr 2024 | 2,120 | ? | 28.9 19 |
35.7 23 |
0.8 0 |
3.1 2 |
11.9 7 |
4.1 2 |
2.0 1 |
1.8 1 |
[cb] | 9.5 6 |
6.8 |
SocioMétrica/El Español[177] | 9–12 Apr 2024 | 2,550 | ? | 26.3 17 |
38.1 25 |
1.7 1 |
2.4 1 |
10.9 7 |
6.1 4 |
2.6 1 |
1.8 1 |
[cb] | 6.7 4 |
11.8 |
GAD3/Mediaset[178] | 18–21 Mar 2024 | 1,017 | ? | 26.5 18/19 |
37.8 25/26 |
0.3 0 |
3.5 2 |
9.2 6 |
4.4 3 |
2.7 1 |
2.4 1 |
[cb] | 7.2 4 |
11.3 |
SocioMétrica/El Español[179] | 5–9 Mar 2024 | 2,900 | ? | 24.5 16 |
40.1 26 |
0.9 0 |
1.9 1 |
10.6 7 |
4.9 3 |
3.0 2 |
1.2 0 |
[cb] | 9.3 6 |
15.6 |
Ipsos/Euronews[180][181] | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 2,000 | ? | 28.6 19 |
37.7 25 |
? 0 |
2.4 1 |
10.4 6 |
3.8 2 |
2.5 1 |
2.0 1 |
[cb] | 9.7 6 |
9.1 |
GAD3/ABC[182] | 26–29 Feb 2024 | 1,005 | ? | 27.1 18 |
38.4 26 |
? 0 |
3.0 2 |
8.6 6 |
4.3 2 |
2.7 1 |
2.4 1 |
[cb] | 7.3 5 |
11.3 |
SocioMétrica/El Español[183] | 5–9 Feb 2024 | 2,900 | ? | 28.1 18 |
38.3 25 |
? 0 |
1.0 0 |
11.7 7 |
3.2 2 |
3.4 2 |
1.5 1 |
[cb] | 10.2 6 |
10.2 |
NC Report/La Razón[184] | 12–18 Jan 2024 | 1,000 | 61.5 | 28.3 18 |
37.5 25 |
0.4 0 |
1.7 1 |
10.4 6 |
3.0 2 |
3.3 2 |
2.1 1 |
[cb] | 9.1 6 |
9.2 |
SocioMétrica/El Español[185] | 25–31 Dec 2023 | 2,309 | ? | 28.5 19 |
37.1 24 |
1.1 0 |
3.3 2 |
11.0 7 |
3.2 2 |
4.4 2 |
1.3 0 |
[cb] | 8.8 5 |
8.6 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[186] | 15–26 Dec 2023 | 2,992 | ? | 29.2 19 |
38.1 25 |
0.2 0 |
2.6 1 |
11.8 7 |
2.8 1 |
2.3 1 |
2.0 1 |
[cb] | 10.1 6 |
8.9 |
SocioMétrica/El Español[187] | 20–24 Nov 2023 | 2,109 | ? | 29.2 19 |
36.8 25 |
1.1 0 |
2.0 1 |
10.2 6 |
4.2 2 |
5.1 3 |
1.3 0 |
[cb] | 8.0 5 |
7.6 |
2023 general election | 23 Jul 2023 | — | 66.6 | 31.7 (20) |
33.1 (21) |
– | [cb] | 12.4 (7) |
3.9 (2) |
1.7 (1) |
1.6 (1) |
[cb] | 12.3 (7) |
1.4 |
November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | — | 66.2 | 28.0 (18) |
20.8 (13) |
6.8 (4) |
12.9 (8) |
15.1 (10) |
5.3 (3) |
2.2 (1) |
2.8 (1) |
2.4 (1) |
– | 7.2 |
2019 EP election | 26 May 2019 | — | 60.7 | 32.9 21 |
20.2 13 |
12.2 8 |
10.1 6 |
6.2 4 |
5.6 3 |
4.5 3 |
2.8 1 |
1.3 0 |
– | 12.7 |
Notes[edit]
- ^ Groups all parties not represented in the European Parliament into "others", unless it is a member of a political party at the European level.
- ^ Groups all parties not represented in the European Parliament into a group or non-inscrits.
- ^ PP-DB is an electoral alliance, including parties with different european affiliations. PP has expressed interest in joining Renew Europe,[116] while MEP Radan Kanev from DSB sits in the EPP Group and DaB! is considering applying for EPP membership.[117]
- ^ ITN, despite not being an official member yet, has announced its intention to join the ECR Group.[118]
- ^ Includes, Solidary Bulgaria at 2.5%, and Blue Bulgara at 1.7%, all winning no seats
- ^ Includes, Blue Bulgara at 2.4%, Solidary Bulgaria at 2.3%, Levitsata! at 1.9%, and Bulgarian Rise at 1.2%, all winning no seats
- ^ Includes, Solidary Bulgaria at 2.2%, Blue Bulgara at 1.4%, both winning no seats
- ^ Includes BV and Levitsata!, both at 1.8% and winning no seats
- ^ Includes BV at 2.9% and Levitsata! at 2.2%, both winning no seats
- ^ Democratic Bulgaria only
- ^ with DP
- ^ with Trikolora
- ^ ODS 14.6%, KDU-ČSL 7.2%
- ^ with TOP 09
- ^ Included under Others.
- ^ Alliance with R&PS and Volt France
- ^ a b c Dupont-Aignan retires as of March 26
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p PRG and Bernard Cazeneuve's The Convention
- ^ a b RE list led by Valérie Hayer, confirmed as candidate on February 29th
- ^ a b RE list led by Clément Beaune
- ^ a b RE list led by Julien Denormandie
- ^ a b c d e RE list led by Olivier Véran
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y RE list led by Stéphane Séjourné
- ^ RE list led by Bruno Le Maire
- ^ RE list led by Thierry Breton
- ^ LFI–PS list led by Segolène Royal
- ^ LFI list led by Segolène Royal
- ^ NUPES list led by Marie Toussaint (EELV)
- ^ NUPES list led by Manon Aubry (LFI)
- ^ NUPES list led by Léon Deffontaines (PCF)
- ^ NUPES list led by Olivier Faure (PS)
- ^ NUPES list led by LFI and EELV
- ^ a b NUPES list led by EELV
- ^ endorsed LO
- ^ with MEI and MdP
- ^ with PS
- ^ with EELV
- ^ incl. UDI with 2.50%
- ^ Die Partei has 2 seats, Tierschutz has one seat.
- ^ De facto banned, popular former XA member Ilias Kasidiaris supported Spartans for the 2023 Greek legislative election.
- ^ 49 votes below the 3% threshold.
- ^ Alongside Union of Centrists.
- ^ without leaders
- ^ with leaders
- ^ Polls before 12 March 2024 refer to it as People's Union (UP).
- ^ a b c d e f g Without leaders
- ^ a b c d e f g h With leaders
- ^ SVP 0.0%
- ^ PSI 0.8%
- ^ With party symbols
- ^ Combined results for Green Europe (EV) and The Left (LS) lists at the election
- ^ The figure for 'Others/Independents' (including Independents 4 Change candidates) is the remainder when all others are removed. As with all such calculations, the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to rounding effects.
- ^ Not specifically mentioned in the report.
- ^ Did not contest this election.
- ^ Latvian Russian Union: 6.3% (1); Centre Party: 0.5%
- ^ Parties which received less than 1% of the vote.
- ^ Don't Know/Won't Vote
- ^ Coalition of Peace 0.9%, Lithuanian Green Party 0.8%, National Alliance 0.8%, People and Justice Union 0.5%, Electoral Action of Poles in Lithuania 0.4%, Christian Union 0.1%, Lithuanian People's Party 0.1%, Lithuanian List 0.1%
- ^ a b Excluded from calculation for the party percentages.
- ^ Combined result of Democratic Alternative and Democratic Party vote shares before party merger
- ^ As Alliance for Change
- ^ including GL–PvdA joint list in Zeeland
- ^ including CU–SGP joint list in North Brabant
- ^ Bezpartyjni Samorządowcy – 2.7
- ^ KORWiN – 1
- ^ Turnout: 74,38%
- ^ Turnout: 61,74%
- ^ Turnout: 45,69%
- ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (17.5%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 27.5%; AD: 23.2%; CHEGA: 10.7%; BE: 6.1%; Livre: 4.8%; IL: 3.6%; CDU: 2.7%; PAN: 1.1%; Others/Invalid: 2.7%.
- ^ Independents 1%, Sovereign Romania Party 0%
- ^ Independents 1%, Sovereign Romania Party 0%
- ^ Romanian Sovereigntist Bloc (NI): 4.2%
- ^ Party of the Patriots: 2%
- ^ Romanian Sovereigntist Bloc (NI): 3%
- ^ Independents 2%, ALDE 0%, Sovereign Romania Party 0%
- ^ Compared with the 2022 results of GS + LMŠ and SAB which have both merged with GS
- ^ Compared with the 2019 results of LMŠ and SAB which have both merged with GS
- ^ Common Sense 2.2%, MySlovensko 0.6%, Piráti 0.6%, Slovak PATRIOT 0.6%, SOS 0.5%, SDKÚ-DS 0.4%, Socialisti.sk 0.3%, SOSK 0.2%, SRDCE 0.2%, Volt 0.1%, PEL 0.1%, SĽS 0.0%
- ^ Common Sense 1.5%, SRDCE 1.2%, SOSK 0.7%, PEL 0.7%, SDKÚ-DS 0.5%, Piráti 0.5%, MySlovensko 0.5%, SĽS 0.3%, SOS 0.1%, Volt 0.1%, Slovak PATRIOT 0.0%, Socialisti.sk 0.0%
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n Within Sumar.
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