Ron Paul presidential campaign, 2008
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| Ron Paul for President 2008 | |
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| Campaign | U.S. presidential election, 2008 |
| Candidate | Ron Paul Congressman 1976–1977 Congressman 1979–1985 Congressman 1997–present |
| Affiliation | Republican Party |
| Status | Announced March 12, 2007 Suspended June 12, 2008 |
| Headquarters | Lake Jackson, Texas |
| Key people | Kent Snyder (Manager) Jesse Benton (Press Secretary) |
| Receipts | US$28.1M (2007-12-31)[4] |
| Slogan | Hope for America |
| Website | |
| www.ronpaul2008.com | |
Ron Paul was a Republican Party primary candidate in the 2008 United States presidential election.
Initial opinion polls during the first three quarters of 2007 showed Ron Paul consistently receiving support from 3% or less of those polled. In the last quarter of 2007, Paul's support among likely Republican primary voters averaged around 7%.[citation needed] In 2008, Paul's support among Republican voters remained in the single digits, and well behind front-runner John McCain.[1]
During the fourth quarter of 2007, Paul was the most successful Republican fundraiser, bringing in approximately 20 million dollars.[2][3] He also received the most money from the armed services of any candidate in the fourth quarter.[4] Ron Paul's campaign set two fund raising records: the largest single day donation total among Republican candidates and twice receiving the most money received via the Internet in a single day by any presidential candidate in American history.[5] Paul's run for president is also noted for its grassroots social networking, facilitated by the Internet.[6]
As of February 5, 2008, Paul had won sixteen delegates to the Republican National Convention, placing him last amongst the four Republican candidates still in the race at that time.[7] The campaign projected on February 6 to have secured at least 42 delegates to the national convention.[8]
On March 4,2008, John McCain earned enough delegates to become the Republican nominee, but Ron Paul decided to continue his run.[9]
On April 29, 2008, Ron Paul released The Revolution: A Manifesto, which collected essays based on thoughts that arose from his experiences running for president in 2008. The book went on to be a #1 bestseller on Amazon[10] and the New York Times nonfiction list.[11]
On June 12, 2008 Paul announced that he was ending the presidential campaign, investing the more than USD 4.7 million of remaining campaign contributions to build up the new advocacy group Campaign for Liberty.[12]
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[edit] Campaign developments
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| Ron Paul | |||||||||||||||||
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| Grassroots efforts | |||||||||||||||||
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| Other grassroots efforts | |||||||||||||||||
| Paulville, Texas | |||||||||||||||||
| Campaign for Liberty | |||||||||||||||||
| Books | |||||||||||||||||
| A Foreign Policy of Freedom | |||||||||||||||||
| The Revolution: A Manifesto |
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This article or section may contain an inappropriate mixture of prose and timeline. Please help convert this timeline into prose or, if necessary, a list. |
These are events related to Ron Paul's official 2008 campaign. For events related to the independent grassroots movement around him (the "Ron Paul Revolution"), see Grassroots campaign efforts.
[edit] First quarter 2007
Ron Paul formed a presidential exploratory committee on January 11.[13] He also acquired data on public interest in his running for President around February 19.[14] Based on the results from the exploratory committee and polling, Paul officially entered the race on March 12.[14][15]
In a February CNN landline opinion poll, Paul was the candidate with the least name recognition besides John H. Cox.[16] On March 20, Paul signed the American Freedom Agenda Pledge.[17][18]
[edit] Second quarter 2007
On June 30, 2007, in Des Moines, Iowa, Iowans for Tax Relief and the Iowa Christian Alliance invited all Republican presidential candidates except Paul to a presidential candidates forum. Six candidates appeared: Romney, Brownback, Gilmore, Huckabee, Thompson, and Tancredo.[citation needed]
[edit] Third quarter 2007
Paul participated in the Ames Straw Poll in Ames, Iowa on August 11. He ranked fifth out of 11 candidates, receiving 9.1 percent of the votes.[19][20] According to John Fout, on TheStreet.com, Paul "shocked people in Iowa" by receiving more than 9 percent of the vote after making only three trips to Iowa, releasing ads only one week before the poll, and for beating Tommy Thompson, who visited all 99 counties in Iowa.[21] In an interview about the results of the straw poll, fellow candidate Mike Huckabee, who placed second, said that Ron Paul was the candidate most likely to overtake him nationally, saying, "I'm keeping an eye on him."[22]
[edit] Fourth quarter 2007
On October 25, work began among Ron Paul's supporters to commemorate the anniversary of the Boston Tea Party, starting with the Web-site TeaParty07.com.[23] In support of the rally, Paul supporters purchased a blimp to display campaign messages to observers.[24] On December 16, 2007, Ron Paul supporters re-enacted the dumping of tea into Boston Harbor by tossing banners that read "Tyranny" and "No Taxation Without Representation" into boxes that were in the harbor.[25] Ron Paul supporters also gathered in several other cities as part of the Tea Party re-enactment, including Strasbourg, France, Santa Monica, California, Maui, Hawaii, and Freeport and Austin, Texas[26]. Paul himself tossed a barrel labelled "Iraq War" overboard at the Tea Party Re-enactment in Freeport, Texas.[27] The Austin Police Department estimates 2000 to 3000 attendees at the Austin Tea Party. [28][26]
Paul's first major television campaign began November 8, at a total cost of US$1.1 million, started advertising in New Hampshire.[29]
On December 1, 2007, the Los Angeles Times declared Paul a player in the presidential campaign.[30] The Libertarian Party adopted a resolution on December 12 urging Paul to run on the Libertarian ticket if he does not get nominated by the Republican Party.[31]
In December 2007, the Associated Press reported that Paul kept a US$500 donation from Don Black, operator of Stormfront, a white nationalist organization website. Paul's campaign stated that "If someone with small ideologies happens to contribute money to Ron, thinking he can influence Ron in any way, he's wasted his money," responding that they would spend the money on spreading "the message of freedom" and "inalienable rights". [32]
CBS News reported on December 21 that "Ron Paul can no longer be dismissed as the favorite of the fringe".[33]
Many presidential candidates released apolitical Christmas-themed advertisements.[34] Paul was the first nationally recognized candidate to post such an ad on Youtube. In the ad, Paul's family sings a rendition of "Deck the Halls" amid a brief narrative from Paul wishing the viewer "an absolutely great 2008".[5] [34] CBS News described it as portraying Paul as "warm and fuzzy", with fewer religious overtones than other candidates'.[34]
Paul was questioned on Meet the Press by Tim Russert for asking that US$400 million in previously earmarked funds be directed back to his district for water projects, a nursing program, to expand a hospital cancer center and US$10 million to promote Texas shrimp.[35][36] On Meet the Press, Paul defended his bid for the earmarked funds saying he never voted for an earmark in his life. Tim Russert said Paul's statement was like saying, "you voted for it before you voted against it."[37] Congressman Paul responded,"I put them in because I represent people who are asking for some of their money back, ... I'm against the tax system, but I take all my tax credits. I want to get their money back for the people."[35]
By December 31, the Paul campaign recruited 300 student volunteers from 39 states and 4 countries to campaign door-to-door in Iowa.
[edit] First quarter 2008
On January 7, Paul's campaign launched an eight-state TV ad campaign for California, Alabama, Colorado, Georgia, North Dakota, Louisiana, Maine and Florida.[38] That was in addition to the campaigns in New Hampshire and South Carolina.
Also on January 15, James Giles, writing for The Bulletin of Philadelphia, said that Paul represented "the dominant foreign policy consensus in the Republican Party from 1920 to 1952."[39]
Ron Paul campaigned heavily in Nevada, more than Mitt Romney, the only other candidate to go there.[40][41] On January 17, Paul's Nevada campaign representatives warned state GOP officials that thousands of caucus-goers had been given wrong caucus locations. A correction was put onto the Nevada GOP website that morning, two days before the caucuses.[42] Then Paul's campaign criticized inconsistencies, confusion over rules, and a shortage of ballots in some counties. They asked the state Republican Party to consider postponing the vote because of those problems and others, such as unclear rules on who could vote.[43]
In January, Paul released an economic revitalization plan[44] and named Peter Schiff and Don Luskin economic advisors to the campaign.[45][46] The National Taxpayers Union found that among the remaining presidential candidates, only Paul proposed sufficient federal spending cuts to more than offset new spending plans.[47]
In February, suicide terrorism expert professor Robert Pape joined the campaign as foreign policy advisor; Ivan Eland and Leon Hadar also joined Paul's foreign policy team.[48]
After Mitt Romney left the race in February, leaving John McCain strongly favored to win the nomination, Paul e-mailed his supporters on February 8 and stated that he was refactoring his presidential campaign to be "leaner and tighter" and would devote a significant portion of his time specifically to his campaign for reelection to the U.S. House, representing Texas's 14th congressional district, where Paul is being challenged for the Republican nomination by Friendswood mayor pro tem Chris Peden. Paul recognized a nearly zero chance of a brokered convention. He was determined to continue in every caucus and primary remaining and promised not to campaign for president for another party.[49] Staffer Dan McCarthy clarified in a blog post on February 9 that Paul's presidential campaign "is not ending, not being suspended, and not even drawing down", stating that "[a] few news sources are misreporting Ron Paul’s e-mail from last night."
On February 11, Ron Paul posted a video via YouTube and his campaign website in which he states that he would like to organize a march on Washington in order to show the support he has received and give his campaign a boost in the presidential race.[50]
On March 4, John McCain earned enough delegates to become the Republican nominee. Mike Huckabee dropped from the race as a result[51], but Ron Paul decided to continue his run, having successfully defended his congressional seat.[9]
On March 8, Paul released a video to his supporters[52] acknowledging that he would not be able to win the nomination, interpreted by some news sources[53][54] as a hint that the campaign was over. Ron Paul's son Rand publicly denied the allegations and stated the campaign "will continue to contest the remaining primaries."[55] On March 10, Ron Paul appeared on American Morning to explain that he has not withdrawn from the race and he will keep campaigning to keep his ideas in the arena, and to fulfill an obligation to his supporters in states that have not yet held primaries.[56]
It's not over; it's certainly winding down, there are a lot less primaries left. Super Tuesday has passed, and McCain has the nominal number. But if you're in a campaign for only gaining power, that's one thing. If you're in a campaign to influence ideas and the future of the country, the campaign is never over.[57]
—Ron Paul, American Morning
[edit] Ron Paul newsletter controversy
On January 8, the day of the New Hampshire primary, The New Republic published a story by James Kirchick quoting from selected newsletters published under Paul's name,[58] [59] The publications had various names bannering "Ron Paul" prominently, such as The Ron Paul Survival Report. Kirchick said that the writings showed "an obsession with conspiracies, sympathy for the right-wing militia movement, and deeply held bigotry", and were imaginably "saturated in racism", charges echoed by Kevin Drum of CBS News.[60] Kirchick noted that one article referred to African-American rioters as "barbarians" and suggested that the Los Angeles riots of 1992 only stopped when it came time for "blacks to pick up their welfare checks". Other issues gave tactical advice to local militia groups and advanced various conspiracy theories.[61][62] The newsletter articles were often written in the first person and included personal greetings supposedly written by Paul himself.[63]
When the newsletters were discussed in the mid-90s, Paul stood by them and said his political opponents were taking his writings out of context.[64] Responding to the 2008 story in a press release, the Paul campaign disavowed the quotations, attributing them to unknown writers.[59] Paul "never uttered such words and denounced such small-minded thoughts," saying Martin Luther King, Jr., and Rosa Parks were personal heroes because they stood for individual rights, and that he had spoken highly about Parks in a 1999 floor speech in the House of Representatives.[65] Paul took the position that the Kirchick story was a "rehash" of a political attack received during his 1996 campaign.
In an interview with CNN's Wolf Blitzer, Paul asserted that racism is incompatible with his beliefs and that he sees people as individuals, not as part of collectives. He also dismissed the attack as an attempt to accuse him of racism by proxy, claiming that he has collected more money among African-Americans than any other Republican candidate. Blitzer told Paul that he was "shocked" by the newsletters, because they did not seem to reflect "the Ron Paul that I've come to know, and the viewers have come to know" over the course of several interviews during the campaign.[66]
Nelson Linder, president of the Austin chapter of the National Association for the Advancement of Colored People (NAACP), defended Paul. "Knowing Ron Paul's intent, I think he is trying to improve this country but I think also, when you talk about the Constitution and you constantly criticize the federal government versus state I think a lot of folks are going to misconstrue that....so I think it's very easy for folks who want to take his position out of context, and that's what I'm hearing."[67]
Reason magazine contributing editor Matt Welch found numerous references to the newsletters in news coverage of the 1996 race, many of which showed Paul defending his newsletters.[68] However, in 2001, Paul said that the newsletters were ghostwritten, and that he only said otherwise in 1996 because it was too confusing to explain in the fervor of a campaign. The New York Times called Paul's account "highly believable, as Paul had never uttered anything like that." [69] On January 14, The New Republic published more selections from the newsletters.[70] The new selections included a March 1987 and an April 1988 issue of The Ron Paul Investment Letter, prior (by Kirchick's own admission) to the racist and homophobic invective, which listed Paul as editor.[71][72] However, a later May 1988 edition, (again, prior to the inflammatory content) showed Paul with no role in the publication; Rockwell had replaced him as editor. [73]
In a January 16 report for Reason, Julian Sanchez and David Weigel uncovered evidence that Lew Rockwell was involved with the newsletters. According to the report, an unnamed source in the Paul campaign and Timothy Wirkman Virkkala, former managing editor of Liberty magazine, acknowledged Rockwell's role in authoring the letters.
Some newsletters advocated positions seemingly contrary to Paul's voting record or personal statements. One quotation mocks the idea of a holiday for a 'fraud,' and 'pedophile,' like Martin Luther King, yet Paul twice voted in favor of a Federal Holiday for King. [74] Additionally, one newsletter quotes Paul as saying that his medical training made him more keen of "cheap gay tricks," along with other stridently anti-gay language. Yet in a 2007 interview, Paul asserted that his medical training made him more tolerant and less judgmental of homosexuality. [75]
[edit] Second quarter 2008
Ron Paul campaigned through Pennsylvania in anticipation of the April 22 primary, including two stops in his birth place of Pittsburgh at Indiana University of Pennsylvania and the University of Pittsburgh.[76][77] He also made several campaign stops in Montana.[78] He was the keynote speaker at the April 26 Nevada Republican State Convention, where his supporters comprised over 2/3rds of the 1200 some attendees.[79] Paul's supporters used their super-majority to allow any state delegate to be considered for the position of national delegate, rather than voting on an pre-approved small slate of possible national delegates. Ron Paul is expected to capture most or all of Nevada's 31 delegates to the RNC as a result.[80][81] The main purpose, according to Paul supporters, is not to make Ron Paul the nominee but to influence the official RNC party platform so it adopts several of the issues advocated by the Texas congressman.[82]
In Missouri, some 145 "suspected" Ron Paul supporters were barred from participating in the state selection process or from being delegates to the national convention by local GOP party leaders. This has led to accusations of procedural violations on the part of state GOP leaders by Republican voters.[83][84]
The Independent Greens of Virginia petitioned to have Ron Paul as their vice-presidential nominee, putting him on a ticket with New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg. Paul himself had nothing to do with the nomination, and indeed, he is only a placeholder candidate who may be replaced later on in the year.[85]
In Nevada on June 28, several hundred Ron Paul delegates reconvened the state convention to elect national delegates to the RNC. They cited a rule that when the chair of the previous meeting called recess without a vote by the delegates, it broke the rules, meaning that the previous state convention never concluded. From this new convention, Ron Paul was awarded all of Nevada's national delegates, winning him the state. The Nevada Republican Party is expected to challenge the results and is planning to hold their own convention July 26, where they will elect their own national delegates.[86]
[edit] Polling
In polling conducted at the Utah GOP convention on June 9, 2007, Paul placed second behind Mitt Romney.[87] Paul also placed second in the straw poll conducted at the National Taxpayers Union conference, following Fred Thompson.[88] Ron Paul placed second, polling 17 percent, in a Cobb County GOP straw poll on July 4, 2007.[89]
Ron Paul placed third in the Illinois Straw Poll on August 16, 2007, with 18.87 percent of the vote, polling just 0.4 percent behind undeclared candidate Fred Thompson. Paul won the similar West Alabama Republican Assembly 2007 Presidential Preference Straw Poll on August 18, 2007, capturing 216 of 266 votes (81 percent), ahead of second place Mitt Romney[90] On August 18. Paul won the South Sound Ronald Reagan Republican Club's straw poll on August 21 in Snohomish County, Washington, with 30 percent of the vote, with Fred Thompson coming in second with 27 percent.[91]
On November 20, 2007, Ron Paul finished fourth behind fellow Republicans Rudy Giuliani, Mitt Romney, and Fred Thompson in a Zogby International "blind bio" poll of likely Republican voters. However, Paul was first when Democrats and Independents were included in the survey. The poll presented potential voters with descriptions of each candidate's resume rather than candidate names.[92]
National polls conducted in January 2008 showed Paul with an average of just under 5% among Republican candidates.[93]
[edit] Primary/caucus results
[edit] Early states - January
Ron Paul finished fifth in the 2008 Iowa Republican caucuses with nearly 10 percent of the votes and 2 delegates according to CNN.[94][95] At the January 5, 2008, Wyoming Republican County Conventions, Ron Paul placed fourth, receiving no delegates.[96] The Wyoming primary was largely ignored by candidates in favor of the higher-profile race in New Hampshire, but four candidates did campaign there,[97] including Paul. The majority of the 1224 eligible voters at the conventions were elected in 2006.[98]
Paul received 8 percent of the vote in the January 8 New Hampshire primary, finishing fifth in the Republican field and receiving no delegates.[99][100] Though he had hoped to improve on his Iowa performance, he vowed to stay in the race, telling supporters, "It's really only the beginning."[101] A recount, which Paul does not support, began January 16, 2008.[102][103] Paul placed fourth in the January 15, 2008, Michigan Republican primary, with 6 percent of the votes and no delegates.[104]
Paul finished second in the January 19 Nevada Republican caucuses with 14 percent of the vote,[105] finishing behind Mitt Romney and earning an estimated four delegates to the national convention.[106] Paul finished fifth in the January 19 South Carolina Republican primary, with 4 percent of the vote and no delegates.[107][108] Paul had 3 campaign offices in South Carolina and noted that it was "absolutely vital" since every Republican winner of the state since 1980 has gone on to win the nomination. [109] [110]
The Louisiana Republican caucuses were held on January 22, 2008. Official results have not yet been reported; preliminary results show Ron Paul in second place among candidates. [111][112] On January 26, the Paul campaign filed a complaint with the state GOP contesting Louisiana's process of choosing delegates.[113]
The Florida primary was held on January 29, 2008, and was a state-wide winner-take-all contest for all 57 of Florida's delegates.[114][115][116][117] Philadelphia Inquirer noted that Paul did not campaign in the state,[118] and he finished in fifth place with 3% of the vote. [119]. LA Times listed Florida as part of an eight state radio ad campaign by Paul during January 2008.[38]
Ahead the 3 day Maine caucus before Super Tuesday, Paul was the only Republican candidate to visit the state.[120]. Paul held campaign events, including a rally at the Maine State House on January 28, 2008. [121] The week before the caucus, Paul said that he was hoping for a "grand showing" in the state.[122][123] With 74.7% of the precincts counted, Paul placed third in the voter preference tally with 19%.[124] National delegates are assigned to candidates May 2 when state delegates hold their convention. Paul earned 35% of the state delegates to take second place.[125]
[edit] "Super Tuesday", February 5, 2008
In West Virginia, Ron Paul spoke at the GOP convention alongside Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee.[126] Paul came in a distant fourth (10%) in the first vote by the state GOP convention and was eliminated for the second round, with McCain eliminated next. Paul's and McCain's supporters voted for Mike Huckabee.[127] Paul's campaign stated that they had a deal with Huckabee to get 3 delegates in exchange for the support they gave to him.[128][129] The Huckabee campaign has not confirmed that.[130]
Paul's best showings were in Montana, with 25% for second place and no delegates, third in the North Dakota caucus with 21% and five delegates, third in Alaska with 17% and five delegates[131], and third in Utah with 3%. In that day's 16 other primaries and caucuses (Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Illinois, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Missouri, New Jersey, New York, Oklahoma, Tennessee), Paul finished fourth among current candidates. (He placed fifth in California overall, as Giuliani received absentee ballots.[132])
Paul received 4% of the popular vote among all Super Tuesday states.[133]
[edit] Later February and March 2008
On February 9, Kansas, Louisiana, and Washington held their contests. In the Kansas caucuses, Ron Paul finished third, with 11% and no delegates.[134] In the Louisiana primary, Paul finished third among current candidates (fourth overall, as Romney was still on the ballot) with 5%, though no delegates were at stake.[135] In the Washington state caucuses, Paul placed third, with 22%, behind Huckabee (24%) and McCain (26%). Nearly half of Washington's delegates are picked at this caucus and the rest in the primary February 19, 2008. [136]
On the February 12 Potomac Primaries, Maryland, Virginia, and Washington, DC, held their contests. Paul came in third among current candidates in each of them, receiving 6% in Maryland, 4% in Virginia, and 8% in the District of Columbia.[137] A Fox News exit poll showed that in Virginia, 20% of independent voters voting in the Republican races voted for Paul.[138]
In the two February 19 primaries, Paul came in third in Wisconsin with 5% and fourth in Washington state's follow-up primary (8%), even though he was third in the state's caucus with 22%. Paul placed third in the caucus of Puerto Rico (4.33%), tied with Mike Huckabee for second place in the Northern Mariana Islands caucus (4.35%), and has an unknown standing in the American Samoa caucus.
In the four Republican primaries on March 4, Paul came in third in every state. He earned 5% in Texas and Ohio and 7% in Vermont and Rhode Island.[139]
Mississippi held their Republican primary on March 11, 2008. Paul finished 3rd with 4% of the vote. [140]
[edit] Second quarter 2008
In three early April Minnesota state delegate conventions, Paul picked up 6 national delegates from the 12 at stake; they are allowed to vote for any candidate regardless of caucus results.[141] Further conventions will occur in May.
In the April 22 Pennsylvania Primary, Ron Paul finished second with 16% of the vote overall.[142] Paul and Mike Huckabee, who was also on the ballot, did best in Pennsylvania's conservative regions.[143] In the May 6 primaries in Indiana and North Carolina, Paul earned 8% of the vote in both states.[144][145] In the May 13 West Virginia primary, Paul received 5% of the vote.[146] In the May 20th primaries, Paul received 15% of the vote plus 4 national delegates in Oregon and 7% in Kentucky.[147][148]
Paul won 24 percent of the vote in the May 27 Idaho Republican primary, which was his best showing in a primary state.[149][150]
[edit] Delegate count
| Candidates | Actual pledged delegates1 (1,780 of 1,917) |
Estimated total delegates2 (2,159 of 2,380; 1,191 needed to win) |
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| John McCain | 1,378 | 1,575 | |||||||
| Mike Huckabee | 240 | 278 | |||||||
| Mitt Romney | 148 | 271 | |||||||
| Ron Paul | 14 | 35 | |||||||
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| Sources: 1 "Primary Season Election Results", The New York Times, (regularly updated). 2 "Election Center 2008 - Republican Delegate Scorecard", CNN, (regularly updated). |
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[edit] Fund-raising
Paul's fundraising has increased significantly over the campaign. The campaign holds an all-time record for political one-day fund-raising.[151] The Paul campaign discloses donations immediately, instead of on a quarterly basis.
As of January 25, 2008, the Ron Paul campaign has raised more than 30 million dollars,[152] most in the fourth quarter of 2007. Among the active candidates per February 2008, Ron Paul devoted the smallest portion of his funds to salaries and benefits - 8 percent.[153]
[edit] Sources
100% of Paul's campaign money comes from individual contributors,[154] with 47 percent of the funds raised from small contributions of $200 or less.[155]
As of 14 February, 2008, U.S. Army, U.S. Navy, and U.S. Air force members represent three top contributors to Ron Paul's campaign, respectively.[156]
[edit] First quarter - 2007
Ron Paul raised more money in New Hampshire in the first quarter of 2007 than presumed Republican front-runners John McCain and Rudy Giuliani. As of March 31, 2007, Paul had raised $639,989 for his campaign nationwide. Of that, he had spent US$115,070, giving him $525,919 cash-on-hand.[157]
[edit] Second quarter - 2007
As of the end of the second quarter 2007, Ron Paul had over US$2.4 million in the bank, which was more than John McCain, who had $2 million. He outraised every second-tier candidate, and was fourth in fund-raising among the Republicans, behind the three frontrunners.[158]
[edit] Third quarter - 2007
Paul's campaign raised $5.08 million in the third quarter, increasing 114% over the previous quarter. After he began realtime publication of fundraising totals in September 2007, an end-of-quarter fundraiser raised an unexpected $1.2 million in one week; the projected amount had been $500,000. The campaign outperformed "front-runner" candidates; Paul fundraising, measured in itemized donations (over US$200), exceeded that of Giuliani, Romney, and Thompson in many states. ABC News also reported that Paul received more donations from serving members of the armed services than any other GOP candidate. At the close of the quarter, the campaign reported US$5.4 million on hand, more than John McCain, having spent only 34 percent of the proceeds of the preceding three quarters.[159]
[edit] Fourth quarter - 2007
As of December 31, Ron Paul raised $19,765,974 in the fourth quarter, bringing him to roughly $28 million total. His fourth quarter donations came from 130,000 donors, including over 100,000 new contributors.[160] Ron Paul raised more money than any other Republican candidate in the fourth quarter.[161][162] The second highest total raised was by Rudy Giuliani, who got $14.4 million before dropping out of the race.[161] Mitt Romney raised $9 million in the fourth quarter from contributors[163], but lent himself $18 million of his own money, giving him the largest total.[161][3] According to the campaign, Paul's donations average $100 per donor[3] Compared to Democratic candidates, Paul's fourth quarter total was close to Hillary Clinton's, who raised approximately $20 million.[164]
Ron Paul received more money from donors in the military, over $200,000, than any other candidate, Democrat or Republican.[165]
[edit] First quarter - 2008
In the month of March 2008, Ron Paul raised a little over $120,000, though his campaign financial records show him to have $5.1 million cash on hand. Paul's fund raising in 2008 was overall far less than in the previous quarter.[166]
[edit] Second quarter - 2008
With roughly $4 million cash on hand left, "[Ron Paul's campaign] is exploring the option of using the remaining campaign funds to establish a for-profit publishing company aimed at producing educational materials."[167]
[edit] Internet popularity
Paul has participated in several 2008 GOP debates, the majority of which he won according to the sponsors' own online or text-message phone polls.[168] After the first debate, ABC News noted that Paul has a "robust online presence."[169] TIME magazine labels Paul "the new 2.0 candidate" in reference to "his success recruiting supporters through new social media channels".[170] The New York Times writes that his campaign has "snowballed on the Internet".[171] According to KDPaine and Partners, Ron Paul's YouTube videos make up half of the top 10 of all candidate videos and he has the largest overall viewership of any candidate.[172] Jack Cafferty has stated Ron Paul's followers "at any given moment can almost overpower the Internet."[173]
Forbes.com noted a disparity between Paul's online support and his performance in the primaries: while Paul supporters responded in droves to text-message and online polls following televised debates, he received 10% of the vote in Iowa and 8% in New Hampshire. David Thorburn, director of the MIT Communications Forum, said that while the Internet is a major source of fundraising, it is not yet able to compete with traditional media for influence in campaigns. Thorburn added that support from "an intellectually elite minority that lives in cyberspace does not translate into support among the general population."[174]
Blogger Tommy Christopher noted that critics of Ron Paul's followers accused them of being "cult-like" in an attempt to marginalize Paul's support base. Christopher opined that this was part of a "seemingly willful determination by the mainstream media to completely ignore or glibly dismiss Paul's many successes."[175]
[edit] Rankings
Alexa.com data shows Paul's campaign website for his suspended campaign receiving less traffic than than the sites of Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, as well as roughly equal traffic to John McCain.[176] However, Paul's traffic far exceeded Clinton's, and even Obama's as far back as January, evidence of his intense web-based following. [177] Paul's site receives more traffic than Rudy Giuliani, Mitt Romney or Fred Thompson.[178] Hitwise ranks Ron Paul as the seventh most frequent candidate search.[179] In June 2007, Kate Kaye of ClickZNews used Hitwise data to report that Ron Paul had "rocketed from fifth place to first" in their Republican Candidates' Site Traffic Market Share and Rankings report.[180] By October 2007 Fred Thompson had pushed Paul out of the first place position.[181] Since March 2008 Paul's site traffic as measured by Hitwise has trailed that of McCain, Clinton, and Obama. [182] The SIPP index, a site that claims to track how candidates connect with voters, had Ron Paul ranked #3 out of all he candidates in the 2008 primary when he dropped his bid.[citation needed]
[edit] Social networking
In addition to his search popularity, Ron Paul has become popular on a variety of social networking websites. On Jan. 30, 2008, Paul had over 131,000 "friends" on MySpace,[183] and was the Republican winner of the MySpace Presidential Primary in January 2008, with 37% of the votes.[184] He also has a presence on Facebook, with over 58,800 people in a campaign-related group as of December 30, 2007.[185] As of Jan. 30, 2008, he received 10 percent of the votes in Facebook's Elections 2008 presidential poll, placing him first among Republicans and second among all candidates, behind Barack Obama (at 25%), but ahead of Hillary Clinton at 9%.[186]
Paul claims the most YouTube views of all Republican candidates, over 6.8 million,[187]. Paul's YouTube channel is among the Top 40 most subscribed of all time, achieving 40,000 subscribers in December 2007.[188][189] The Weekly Standard on December 10, 2007, reported: "To give an idea of Paul's viral velocity, if you hit “Rudy Giuliani” or “Mitt Romney” into YouTube's search engine, you'll turn up about 3,700 hits apiece. Do the same with “Ron Paul”, and you'll be wading through 63,000 videos."[190] The Ron Paul Girl is an internet video not originally generated from the campaign, but which has amounted to hundreds of thousands of viewings[191] and is thought to have contributed materially to internet fund-raising. Also, many World of Warcraft players have named themselves after Ron Paul and staged an in-game support march.[192]
As of January 30, 2008, Ron Paul has the largest distributed grassroots organization on Meetup.com of all candidates, with almost 105,000 members in 1,600 Meetup groups, that have collectively planned and held nearly 31,000 offline events to rally support (and raise money) for their candidate.[193][194] In comparison, Barack Obama—who has the second largest Meetup organization among active candidates—has close to 5,000 members among 82 Meetup groups.[194]
Summed up by James Rainey of the Los Angeles Times, "Paulites tend to be tech-savvy, tired of traditional politics and suspicious of their government and the mainstream media. But after that, they defy categories...[consisting of] Democrats, Republicans, Libertarians, and Constitution Party followers uniting behind some or all of the Paul libertarian agenda -- ending the war in Iraq, abolishing gun control laws, legalizing marijuana and dismantling big hunks of the U.S. government, especially the IRS and Federal Reserve system."[26]
Jack Cafferty has observed that Ron Paul's grassroots network is one "politicians dream about" and that no other candidate running has a base as dedicated or as vocal as Paul's.[173] Ron Paul has also earned the attention of many sympathizers outside of the United States.[195][196]
[edit] Spamming
In November 2007, the University of Alabama at Birmingham's Spam Data Mining for Law Enforcement Applications project examined a large amount of spam supporting Paul's candidacy. Gary Warner, UAB's director of computer forensics, called the spamming "a criminal act in support of a campaign," but stated that he does not believe the campaign itself is in any way responsible. Paul's spokesman, Jesse Benton, said in an email to Wired magazine calling the spamming the work of "a well-intentioned yet misguided supporter or someone with bad intentions trying to embarrass the campaign."[197] The spamming resulted in the removal of at least one Ron Paul video from YouTube, according to anti-phishing researcher Chris Barton of McAfee.[198]
The Wired article claims that the finding is "significant" because of Paul's popularity in online polls, which Wired says does not reflect offline polling, and suggests technically sophisticated Paul supporters may have been "manipulating" polls.
Earlier, the prominent conservative blog RedState barred users with accounts less than six months old from posting messages supporting Paul. This was due to a torrent of pro-Paul comment spam. Other blogs at least temporarily shut down their online polls due to concerns the results may have been stacked by Paul supporters.[197]
[edit] Grassroots campaign efforts
[edit] Ron Paul Revolution
Paul's candidacy draws a significant degree of support from grassroots movements, and supporters have worked independently of the official campaign or the GOP to raise Paul's public profile as well as record breaking campaign donations. A number of supporters have described these efforts as the "Ron Paul Revolution," an allusion to the American Revolution[199] that frequently appears on placards and t-shirts at rallies[200][201] and serves as a slogan that the official campaign has adopted. Supporters use the letters "EVOL" reversed to spell "love" backward to represent peace and hope.[202][203]
[edit] Money bombs
- See also: Moneybomb
In early October 2007, a website was set up to raise $1 million per week independently for Ron Paul's campaign by having individuals pledge en masse the same amount (per donor) on the same day each week. News media began referring to this effort as a "money bomb". By mid-October, several other "money bomb" fund raising dates, all unaffiliated with the actual Ron Paul campaign, had caused fund raising spikes of hundreds of thousands of dollars each.. On average, over 1500 people donated per hour.[204]
In late October, a grassroots website called "This November 5th"[205] was launched, requesting pledges for the Paul campaign on November 5, the same day as Guy Fawkes Day. They collected over 18,000 e-mail addresses.
On November 5, 2007, the campaign raised over $4.3 million.[206] That amount is the largest amount collected on a single day by any Republican candidate,[207][208] and the record for largest amount of on-line fund raising in a single day ever in U.S. history.[209] Paul eclipsed his overall third-quarter fund-raising total around 2:30 p.m. EST.
Paul's December campaign contributions rose to over $7.1 million and the Q4 campaign contributions rose to over $17 million as a result of this push. The campaign website displayed a novel real-time display of the funds raised and the names of donors.[210] Smaller fund raising money bombs continued throughout November and early December.
A December 16, 2007, money bomb on the anniversary of the Boston Tea Party broke the campaign's previous record,[211] raising nearly $2 million more than the November 5 event, bringing in over US$6 million in the largest single day of fund raising, on-line or not, in U.S. presidential campaign history.[212] During the last minutes of the drive, the server refused to accept contributions due to an overload of donations, as about 100 contributors per minute donated to the campaign; more than an additional $100,000 were donated within the hour past midnight.[213][214][215]
February 1, 2008, marked the 51st anniversary of Carol and Ron Paul's marriage. Supporters raised over $1 million in the 24-hour period for the campaign[216] as an "anniversary gift," making the it the fourth largest campaign donation day to date.[217]
[edit] Ron Paul Blimp
The Ron Paul Blimp was an aerial billboard launched in December, 2007 with considerable publicity. It was emblazoned on one side with "Who is Ron Paul? Google Ron Paul" and, on the other, "Ron Paul Revolution."[218] At 200 feet (61 m) long, the blimp was longer than the Goodyear Blimp.[219] With a stated cost of $400,000 per month, supporters raised enough money to keep the blimp afloat for about six weeks. Piloted by Dick Schwenker,[220] it flew over Walt Disney World for several days,[221] as well as the January 10 presidential debate in Myrtle Beach, South Carolina.[222][223][224][225]
The blimp was financed by a for-profit company (Liberty Political Advertising, L.L.C.), rather than the campaign itself.[226][227] This structure was created to permit donors to escape federal limits of $2,300 per person on campaign donations.[228] The FEC has not commented on the validity of such a finance structure.
A supporter named Elizabeth Blane also created a 20-foot (6.1 m) "micro-blimp" emblazoned with the same logos as the full sized blimp, which flew over the San Diego area.[229][230]
[edit] Other efforts
An avid Ron Paul supporter and businessman, Joby Weeks, recently refurbished an old stretch limousine into the world's longest limo, the Ron Paul Limo, which is 55 feet long (17 m).[231] The limousine has been touring high-traffic cities across the country, and it has been personally signed by Ron Paul on one side.
A Nevada brothel owner recently promised to take up a collection from his customers to back Paul's bid.[232]
Paul supporters have created a number of songs in support of Ron Paul. Steve Dore, for example, produced a CD called "Early Songs of the Great Ron Paul Revolution," the profits from which were donated to Paul's campaign.[190]
Dean Van Gundy in Grand Junction, Colorado paid for a bus full of "campaigners" to sit in a prominent location, hoping to pick up more supporters. [233]
Some Paul supporters announced plans to build a cooperative community populated solely by those philosophically aligned with Paul dubbed "Paulville" on a plot near Dell City, Texas, in a sparsely populated area between San Angelo and El Paso. Paul himself was not in favor of the idea, stating "I don't see that as a solution, but it can't hurt anything either".[234]
Supporters of Ron Paul are planning an event in the Minneapolis-St. Paul area, at the same time the 2008 Republican National Convention will be taking place in that city.[235]
[edit] 2008 GOP Presidential Debates
[edit] Second Quarter 2007
On May 3, 2007, Ron Paul participated in a 90-minute presidential debate at the Reagan Presidential Library, alongside nine other Republican candidates. In online voting hosted by MSNBC and The Politico, Paul was ranked first for "Best one liner," "Who stood out from the pack", "Most convincing debater", and "Who showed the most leadership qualities?"[236] and was winning the "rating and comparing candidates" question.[237]
Paul participated in the FOX News Channel First-in-the-South Republican Party Presidential Candidates Debate at the University of South Carolina on May 15, alongside nine other Republican candidates. In a phone text message based vote among viewers after the debate, Paul finished second, winning 25% of the votes.[238]
During the debate, Congressman Paul commented that America's history of interventionism in the Middle East has led to an unpopular view of the U.S. in Middle Eastern countries, and argued that the CIA's removal of Iranian leader Mohammed Mosaddeq in Operation Ajax, the Iraq war and the bombing of Iraq in the 1990s had led to increasing anti-American sentiment in the Middle East and promoted terrorism. When the moderator asked if Paul was suggesting that the US had "invited" the 9/11 attacks, Paul argued with fellow candidate Rudy Giuliani, who responded to Paul's suggestion that the U.S. pay attention to the underlying causes of terrorism by saying "I don't think I've heard that before, and I've heard some pretty absurd explanations for September 11. And I would ask the congressman to withdraw that comment and tell us that he didn't really mean that." Paul responded that terrorists were the result of "blowback" from poor foreign policy, and that they "don't come here to attack us because we're rich and we're free, they come and attack us because we're over there."[239]
Though the confrontation was noted in the media and cast as a political win for Giuliani, Paul's remarks were debated. Conservative pundits including Sean Hannity and Michael Steele criticized them; former CIA Bin Laden Issue Station head Michael Scheuer endorsed them as "obvious" and an "immense service to all Americans"; and commentator Andrew Sullivan agreed with Paul, citing his comments as evidence that he was the only GOP candidate "serious about national security." Paul condemned Giuliani's attack in a press release, later demanding an apology on CNN's The Situation Room with Wolf Blitzer.[240][241][242][243][244]
In the debate, Paul and McCain refused to endorse torture, with Paul labelling the phrase "enhanced interrogation techniques" as "Orwellian".[245][246]
Ron Paul participated in the CNN Republican debate in New Hampshire on June 5. Paul argued against a preemptive military policy in favor of going "back to traditions and our Constitution" and "[defending] our liberties and [defending] our rights.". He was given fewer than six minutes of time, less than Mitt Romney, John McCain, or Rudy Giuliani.[247][248][249][250]